{"id":356985,"date":"2026-02-21T16:26:03","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T16:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/?p=356985"},"modified":"2026-02-21T16:26:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-21T16:26:03","slug":"100-thieves-major-vrs-debate-roman-imperium","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/100-thieves-major-vrs-debate-roman-imperium","title":{"rendered":"100 Thieves eliminate Ninjas in Pyjamas \u2014 but can they really reach the Major?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>100 Thieves\u2019 first LAN run of 2026 has already sparked debate across the Counter-Strike scene. After eliminating Ninjas in Pyjamas in a dramatic three-map series at Roman Imperium Cup V, the North American organization secured a playoff berth \u2014 and suddenly, talk of a potential Major qualification is back on the table. But while the win was impressive, analysts warn that the road ahead is extremely narrow.<\/p>\n<h3>Playoff breakthrough after group-stage chaos<\/h3>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-356986\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot_315.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"581\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot_315.webp 581w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot_315-300x176.webp 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 581px) 100vw, 581px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Placed in Group D alongside BESTIA and Monte, 100 Thieves suffered a brutal start. In the opening best-of-one, NiP demolished them 13\u20132 on Nuke, raising immediate concerns about the team\u2019s LAN readiness. However, the group quickly turned dramatic.<\/p>\n<p>NiP fell to Monte, who locked in a playoff spot, while 100 Thieves bounced back by eliminating BESTIA to stay alive. That set up a high-stakes rematch against the Swedes \u2014 this time in a best-of-three series for survival. The decider on Ancient went to overtime, where 100 Thieves finally closed it out 16\u201312 to win the series 2\u20131:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Dust2 \u2014 13:7 (100T)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Nuke \u2014 9:13 (NiP)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Ancient \u2014 16:12 (OT)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>William \u201csirah\u201d Kj\u00e6rsgaard (1.22 rating) and Andr\u00e9 \u201cAg1l\u201d Gil (1.20) led the charge, while NiP exited the tournament in a shock group-stage elimination. It marked the first true statement win of 100 Thieves\u2019 new era.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <div class=\"type3 y-red-dif hover-card card-more\">\n        <a class=\"type3__left up-to-card hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/fluxo-exit-new-igl-roster-changes\">\n        <div class=\"bg-bottom-abs-short\"> <\/div>\n        <picture class=\"picture object-fit-cover\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"picture__img object-fit-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/PHOTO-02-1-6.webp\" alt=\"Fluxo have a new captain: exit takes over IGL role amid roster changes\">\n        <\/picture>\n    <\/a>\n        <div class=\"type3__right main-structure p-20\">\n        <div class=\"type3__top\">\n            <a class=\"type3__title title-24 hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/fluxo-exit-new-igl-roster-changes\">Fluxo have a new captain: exit takes over IGL role amid roster changes<\/a>\n            <a class=\"go-arrow hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/fluxo-exit-new-igl-roster-changes\">\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__left go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__center go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__right go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/a><\/div>\n        <div class=\"type3__bottom blue-labels mt-auto\">\n            <div class=\"blue-label disabled\">Feb 20<\/div>\n            <a class=\"blue-label\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\">News<\/a>        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>VRS implications: a \u201cfairy-tale\u201d scenario<\/h3>\n<p>Following the result, VRS analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JesperLarsen222\/status\/2025206537438761003?s=20\">Jesper \u201cUdknud\u201d Larsen<\/a> outlined what he described as a potential \u201cfairy-tale path\u201d for 100 Thieves toward Major contention. According to Larsen, if 100T were to:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Win Roman Imperium Cup V<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Also win DraculAN 5<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Defeat multiple strong LAN opponents in the process<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>They could accumulate roughly 1480 VRS points by the March ranking update \u2014 potentially placing them around 16th in the world. However, he stressed how unlikely such a run would be:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>Sure they can! But it\u2019s a very narrow road.<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>He added that it would require around 10 additional LAN wins, including victories over teams like BetBoom, HOTU, Gentle Mates, HEROIC and FlyQuest. The upcoming quarter-final against BetBoom is particularly crucial \u2014 reportedly worth around 200 VRS points, with additional prize-money weight amplifying its impact under the VRS system.<\/p>\n<h3>Community divided: hype vs reality<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HBnKPnlW0AAHmXI?format=jpg&amp;name=medium\" alt=\"Image\"><\/p>\n<p>Not everyone is convinced. Some fans dismissed the idea outright:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>ZERO chance they win 10 LANs.<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>Others pointed to BetBoom\u2019s form, noting their recent wins over fnatic, ENCE and SINNERS. One user commented:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>I don\u2019t see them beating BetBoom today\u2026 The win vs NiP looked kinda lucky.<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>Still, there are believers willing to embrace the momentum \u2014 even joking about \u201cbetting the house\u201d in a miracle run.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <div class=\"type3 y-red-dif hover-card card-more\">\n        <a class=\"type3__left up-to-card hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/vitality-vs-the-mongolz-pgl-2026-semi-final-prediction\">\n        <div class=\"bg-bottom-abs-short\"> <\/div>\n        <picture class=\"picture object-fit-cover\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"picture__img object-fit-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/PHOTO-02-23.webp\" alt=\"Prediction: Vitality vs The MongolZ \u2014 Semi-final, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026\">\n        <\/picture>\n    <\/a>\n        <div class=\"type3__right main-structure p-20\">\n        <div class=\"type3__top\">\n            <a class=\"type3__title title-24 hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/vitality-vs-the-mongolz-pgl-2026-semi-final-prediction\">Prediction: Vitality vs The MongolZ \u2014 Semi-final, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026<\/a>\n            <a class=\"go-arrow hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/vitality-vs-the-mongolz-pgl-2026-semi-final-prediction\">\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__left go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__center go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__right go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1784019499#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/a><\/div>\n        <div class=\"type3__bottom blue-labels mt-auto\">\n            <div class=\"blue-label disabled\">Feb 20<\/div>\n            <a class=\"blue-label\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\">News<\/a>        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>The ranking volatility factor<\/h3>\n<p>Larsen also emphasized a key detail: if 100 Thieves do go on a sudden winning streak, their ranking would not be well \u201crooted\u201d due to limited matches played. That means their position could rise quickly \u2014 but also fall just as fast.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>What goes up quickly can also go down quickly, since the rank would not be very well \u2018rooted\u2019.<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>For now, 100 Thieves have done the first part \u2014 proving they can win on LAN against established opposition. The next test comes in the quarter-finals against BetBoom. If they win, the fairy tale continues. If not, the Major dream may have to wait.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>100 Thieves\u2019 first LAN run of 2026 has already sparked debate across the Counter-Strike scene. After eliminating Ninjas in Pyjamas in a dramatic three-map series at Roman Imperium Cup V, the North American organization secured a playoff berth \u2014 and suddenly, talk of a potential Major qualification is back on the table. But while the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":357005,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[1304,628],"class_list":["post-356985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-100-thieves","tag-nip"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>100 Thieves spark Major debate after NiP upset<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"100 Thieves eliminate NiP at Roman Imperium Cup V, igniting debate over a possible Major run and VRS surge.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/100-thieves-major-vrs-debate-roman-imperium\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"100 Thieves spark Major debate after NiP upset\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"100 Thieves eliminate NiP at Roman Imperium Cup V, igniting debate over a possible Major run and VRS surge.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/100-thieves-major-vrs-debate-roman-imperium\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CS2 &amp; 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