{"id":375905,"date":"2026-03-26T13:21:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:21:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/?p=375905"},"modified":"2026-03-26T13:23:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T13:23:20","slug":"cs2-major-race-vrs-update-eu-rankings-finn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/cs2-major-race-vrs-update-eu-rankings-finn","title":{"rendered":"Major race on fire: Updates EU VRS predictions ahead of IEM Cologne"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The race for spots at the IEM Cologne Major 2026 is entering its final stage, and a new update from analyst Finn (MischiefCS2) has only added more fuel to the fire. The updated European VRS simulation as of March 26 highlights not only the near-certain qualifiers but also complete chaos around the final spots.<\/p>\n<h3>Practically locked in: Stage 3 is already decided<\/h3>\n<p>At the top of the rankings, the situation looks almost settled. Six teams can already begin preparing for the later stages of the Major:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Team Vitality \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">NAVI \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Aurora Gaming \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">PARIVISION \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Team Falcons \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The only remaining intrigue here is positional shuffling. For example, Aurora could still theoretically drop below Team Spirit, but that scenario remains unlikely.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <div class=\"type3 y-red-dif hover-card card-more\">\n        <a class=\"type3__left up-to-card hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/esl-pro-tour-2027-updates-cs2\">\n        <div class=\"bg-bottom-abs-short\"> <\/div>\n        <picture class=\"picture object-fit-cover\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"picture__img object-fit-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/2027Details.webp\" alt=\"ESL unveil major CS2 changes for 2027: $11.45M prize pool, expanded playoffs, and full LAN finals return\">\n        <\/picture>\n    <\/a>\n        <div class=\"type3__right main-structure p-20\">\n        <div class=\"type3__top\">\n            <a class=\"type3__title title-24 hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/esl-pro-tour-2027-updates-cs2\">ESL unveil major CS2 changes for 2027: $11.45M prize pool, expanded playoffs, and full LAN finals return<\/a>\n            <a class=\"go-arrow hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/esl-pro-tour-2027-updates-cs2\">\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__left go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__center go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__right go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/a><\/div>\n        <div class=\"type3__bottom blue-labels mt-auto\">\n            <div class=\"blue-label disabled\">Mar 26<\/div>\n            <a class=\"blue-label\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\">News<\/a>        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>Stage 2: stable at the top, but cracks are forming<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_375908\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-375908\" style=\"width: 1707px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-375908\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1707\" height=\"814\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK.webp 1707w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK-300x143.webp 300w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK-1024x488.webp 1024w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK-768x366.webp 768w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEVf2JIXcAABdNK-1536x732.webp 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1707px) 100vw, 1707px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-375908\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Copyright by Finn\u2019s official Twitter account.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The next group of teams also looks relatively secure:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Astralis \u2014 99.99%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">FURIA Esports \u2014 99.9%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">G2 Esports \u2014 ~98.9%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">GamerLegion \u2014 ~98.3%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>However, this is where tension starts to build. G2 have already lost some ground after their loss to Sinners, while GamerLegion are sitting on the edge \u2014 their chances drop significantly depending on final placement scenarios.<\/p>\n<h3>The hottest zone: Stage 1 turns into a coin flip<\/h3>\n<p>This is where the real chaos begins:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Monte \u2014 91.6%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">HEROIC \u2014 77.6%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">BIG \u2014 77.1%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">3DMAX \u2014 51.8%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">BetBoom Team \u2014 50.7%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">K27 \u2014 50.6%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Three teams are effectively hovering around the 50% mark, meaning every single upcoming match could completely reshape the standings.<\/p>\n<h3>On the outside: big names at risk<\/h3>\n<p>One of the biggest shocks is the situation of teams currently outside qualification:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">FaZe Clan \u2014 just 43.3%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Ninjas in Pyjamas \u2014 28.0%<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">OG \u2014 1.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>FaZe in particular are under serious pressure, with results from rivals like BIG and BetBoom further damaging their chances.<\/p>\n<h3>Community reaction: \u201cIt\u2019s still in their hands\u2026 but barely\u201d<\/h3>\n<p>The update quickly sparked discussion across the community, with fans trying to understand the qualification scenarios. One user asked about Ninjas in Pyjamas:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>@NIPCS chances?<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>Finn replied briefly:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>On the spreadsheet<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>The discussion around Gentle Mates highlighted how much depends on upcoming LAN events:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">\u201cCan gentlemates qualify still if they do well at stake?\u201d<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">\u201cyeah. they wouldnt have a chance otherwise\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Another key point was the impact of other teams\u2019 results:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>making it was always heavily reliant on stake. your competition losing out at BC has far more effect than your own loss.<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>And regarding BetBoom Team:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>It\u2019s still in their hands. They\u2019ve got no safety net after DRL6 though<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<h3>Key factor: the final LANs will decide everything<\/h3>\n<p>Finn emphasized that several crucial tournaments are still ahead:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"custom-bq\"><div class=\"custom-bq-q\"><p>Still have some important LANs &amp; high value tournaments to go<\/p><\/div><\/blockquote>\n<p>The final cutoff is set for April 6, when the Major participant list will be locked.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <div class=\"type3 y-red-dif hover-card card-more\">\n        <a class=\"type3__left up-to-card hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/wildcard-replace-the-huns-pgl-bucharest-2026\">\n        <div class=\"bg-bottom-abs-short\"> <\/div>\n        <picture class=\"picture object-fit-cover\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"picture__img object-fit-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/PHOTO-02-3-3.webp\" alt=\"Wildcard replace The Huns at PGL Bucharest 2026 in late roster change\">\n        <\/picture>\n    <\/a>\n        <div class=\"type3__right main-structure p-20\">\n        <div class=\"type3__top\">\n            <a class=\"type3__title title-24 hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/wildcard-replace-the-huns-pgl-bucharest-2026\">Wildcard replace The Huns at PGL Bucharest 2026 in late roster change<\/a>\n            <a class=\"go-arrow hover-el\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/wildcard-replace-the-huns-pgl-bucharest-2026\">\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__left go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__center go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"go-arrow__right go-arrow__part\">\n                    <svg class=\"icon\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\">\n                        <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/themes\/skinclub-v3\/assets\/images\/sprites\/main.stack.svg?v=1778789265#image-blue-arrow\"><\/use>\n                    <\/svg>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/a><\/div>\n        <div class=\"type3__bottom blue-labels mt-auto\">\n            <div class=\"blue-label disabled\">Mar 26<\/div>\n            <a class=\"blue-label\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\">News<\/a>        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>Final takeaway: one of the most chaotic Major races in years<\/h3>\n<p>This European VRS cycle is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in recent memory. While the top teams are already locked in, the Stage 1 battle is essentially a roulette, where even a single result could decide an entire season. And perhaps most notably \u2014 for the first time in a long while, a giant like FaZe is genuinely at risk of missing the Major.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The race for spots at the IEM Cologne Major 2026 is entering its final stage, and a new update from analyst Finn (MischiefCS2) has only added more fuel to the fire. The updated European VRS simulation as of March 26 highlights not only the near-certain qualifiers but also complete chaos around the final spots. Practically [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":372157,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[1602],"class_list":["post-375905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-iem-cologne-2026"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CS2 Major race explodes as VRS update shakes EU rankings<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Finn\u2019s VRS update reshapes the CS2 Major race as FaZe struggle and Stage 1 becomes a chaotic battle for Cologne slots\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/cs2-major-race-vrs-update-eu-rankings-finn\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CS2 Major race explodes as VRS update shakes EU rankings\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Finn\u2019s VRS update reshapes the CS2 Major race as FaZe struggle and Stage 1 becomes a chaotic battle for Cologne slots\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/cs2-major-race-vrs-update-eu-rankings-finn\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CS2 &amp; 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