{"id":416357,"date":"2026-08-14T06:35:54","date_gmt":"2026-08-14T06:35:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/?p=416357"},"modified":"2026-08-14T06:35:54","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T06:35:54","slug":"prediction-for-the-mongolz-vs-natus-vincere-ewc-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/prediction-for-the-mongolz-vs-natus-vincere-ewc-2026","title":{"rendered":"Prediction for The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere \u2014 EWC 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Esports World Cup 2026 continues Group D with an upper-bracket match between The MongolZ and Natus Vincere. The teams will play a Bo3 series in the Upper semi-finals: the winner will advance directly to the Single Elimination Bracket, while the losing team will get another chance in the Lower semi-finals. NAVI approach the match with an advantage in the world ranking and recent head-to-head matches, but The MongolZ remain a dangerous opponent thanks to a strong Dust2 and a high individual level.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>ESPORTS WORLD CUP 2026 GROUP D \u2014 FORMAT SPECIFICS<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The group stage of Esports World Cup 2026 is played in a Double Elimination format. After the opening Bo1 matches, the teams move on to Bo3 series. The winner of the Upper semi-finals guarantees themselves a place in the Single Elimination Bracket, while the losing team drops to the Lower semi-finals and keeps the opportunity to advance further.<\/p>\n<p>Both teams started successfully in Group D. Natus Vincere defeated 3DMAX with a 13:9 score, while The MongolZ beat magic 13:7. Now the margin for error is much smaller: a win immediately solves the question of advancing from the group, while a loss will force the team to play an additional lower-bracket match.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/lux-named-luminositys-main-problem-after-ewc-elimination\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/PGL-Bucharest-2025-Group-Stage-Day-1-Part-8-54-X4-1.jpg.webp\" alt=\"lux named Luminosity\u2019s main problem after EWC elimination\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/lux-named-luminositys-main-problem-after-ewc-elimination\">\n                            lux named Luminosity\u2019s main problem after EWC elimination                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2><strong>HEAD-TO-HEAD \u2014 ADVANTAGE FOR NATUS VINCERE<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In the overall head-to-head map statistics, Natus Vincere lead the matchup 16:9. Their latest series at IEM Cologne Major 2026 was especially telling, where NAVI won 2:1: they took Mirage 13:6 and Ancient 16:13, losing only on Nuke 8:13.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier, NAVI also won the meeting at ESL Pro League Season 23 Finals with a 2:0 score after victories on Mirage 13:4 and Ancient 13:11. At the same time, The MongolZ have already proven that they can beat this opponent: at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026, they won 2:1, so this matchup cannot be called completely one-sided.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>CURRENT FORM<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The MongolZ \u2014 instability after good series<br>\nThe MongolZ started Esports World Cup with a confident 13:7 victory over magic. Before the tournament, the team defeated Wildcard 2:0 and HEROIC 2:1, but also lost to FaZe 1:2 and 9z 0:2. The results remain unstable, although the roster continues to compete with high-level teams.<\/p>\n<p>The best numbers on the roster are being shown by 910, who has a 1.18 rating over the last three months. He records 0.78 kills per round and has a +2.29% Round Swing. Techno and bLitz also play important roles, while the team\u2019s success will largely depend on how consistently The MongolZ can convert early aggression.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_416358\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-416358\" style=\"width: 1920px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-416358\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/55157255245_46699df901_k-1536x864.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-416358\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo Copyright by BLAST<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Natus Vincere \u2014 stronger ranking and a stable b1t<br>\nNatus Vincere also started the tournament with a win, beating 3DMAX 13:9. Before that, the team alternated strong results with setbacks: they defeated The MongolZ 2:1 and Legacy 2:0, but lost to G2 and Falcons with the same 1:2 score.<\/p>\n<p>The main individual force for NAVI remains b1t, who has a 1.20 rating over the last three months. He shows 77.6% KAST and 84.4 ADR. Alongside him, w0nderful, makazze, and iM play important roles, while Aleksib is responsible for the team\u2019s structure and adaptation throughout the Bo3 series.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>MAP POOL &amp; VETO<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Statistics over the last 3 months (The MongolZ | Natus Vincere):<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Cache: \u2014 | \u2014<\/li>\n<li>Dust2: 100% | 25%<\/li>\n<li>Mirage: 56% | 75%<\/li>\n<li>Inferno: 60% | 75%<\/li>\n<li>Nuke: 43% | 67%<\/li>\n<li>Ancient: 20% | 100%<\/li>\n<li>Anubis: \u2014 | 50%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Expected veto:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Natus Vincere will almost certainly try to remove Dust2 \u2014 The MongolZ\u2019s strongest map, where the Mongolian team has won all five matches over the last three months. For NAVI, this map is much less comfortable \u2014 only 25% wins across four matches.<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">The MongolZ, in turn, will logically avoid Ancient. Natus Vincere have a 100% win rate on this map over the last three months, while The MongolZ have won only 20% of their matches.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Likely maps:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Mirage looks like one of the most realistic choices for Natus Vincere. NAVI have a 75% win rate on it against 56% for The MongolZ, and in the latest head-to-head match, it was on Mirage that the European roster won 13:6.<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Nuke may become one of the options for The MongolZ. Although their overall statistics on the map are only 43% against NAVI\u2019s 67%, it was Nuke that the Mongolian team took 13:8 during the latest head-to-head Bo3. Inferno may also remain a potential map in the series \u2014 60% wins for The MongolZ against 75% for Natus Vincere.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>KEY DUELS<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>910 vs b1t \u2014 the main individual matchup of the match between the most productive players on both teams.<\/li>\n<li>Techno vs makazze \u2014 a rifle duel that may determine the battle for space and opening trades.<\/li>\n<li>bLitz vs Aleksib \u2014 a clash of captains, whose adaptation will largely determine the development of the Bo3 series.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 load-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/ence-took-joeski-on-trial-until-the-end-of-august\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/HPmNdkCXQAAofX2.jpg.webp\" alt=\"ENCE took joeski on trial until the end of August\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\">\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/ence-took-joeski-on-trial-until-the-end-of-august\">\n                            ENCE took joeski on trial until the end of August                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2><strong>PREDICTION<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The MongolZ have a real chance to take one map, especially if they manage to leave Dust2 during the veto or get a comfortable Nuke. The team has already beaten NAVI in a Bo3 this year, while 910 is capable of creating enough individual impact for an even fight.<\/p>\n<p>However, Natus Vincere look like the favorite of the series thanks to a stronger map pool, an advantage in recent head-to-head matches, and much more comfortable numbers on Mirage, Inferno, and Ancient. In a Bo3 format, their pool depth should matter more than The MongolZ\u2019s potential advantage on one separate map.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Projected result: The MongolZ 1\u20132 Natus Vincere<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Esports World Cup 2026 continues Group D with an upper-bracket match between The MongolZ and Natus Vincere. The teams will play a Bo3 series in the Upper semi-finals: the winner will advance directly to the Single Elimination Bracket, while the losing team will get another chance in the Lower semi-finals. NAVI approach the match with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":416359,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[4633],"class_list":["post-416357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-ewc-2026-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Prediction for The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere \u2014 EWC 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Prediction for the The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere match in Group D of Esports World Cup 2026. 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