{"id":429352,"date":"2026-09-30T09:57:18","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T09:57:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/?p=429352"},"modified":"2026-09-30T09:57:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T09:57:18","slug":"navi-have-a-45-chance-of-qualifying-for-the-major-in-singapore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/navi-have-a-45-chance-of-qualifying-for-the-major-in-singapore","title":{"rendered":"NAVI have a 45% chance of qualifying for the Major in Singapore"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NAVI\u2019s fight for a spot at the next Major is becoming increasingly tense. A new separate page with chance calculations shows how unstable the team\u2019s position currently remains before the final tournaments of the ranking cycle.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>NAVI received only 45% chances<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>According to the current calculation, NAVI have a 45% chance of qualifying for the Major in Singapore. The system projects the team to finish around 21st place, while the main cutoff zone is around the top 18.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, NAVI\u2019s chances are distributed across different stages: approximately 2.2% goes to Stage 3, 25.5% to Stage 2, and another 17.2% to Stage 1. In other words, the scenario of a direct and comfortable qualification currently looks much less likely than a fight for the lower qualifying positions.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 club-section__load-more-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/cs2-added-a-rank-up-reward-for-your-pet\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <picture class=\"\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-768x432.jpg.webp 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-1400x787.jpg.webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-768x432.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-1400x787.jpg 2x\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-768x432.jpg.webp 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-1400x787.jpg.webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-768x432.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-1400x787.jpg 2x\">\n<img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-768x432.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/17319d87-8a99-4f72-8382-4bc5c944b894-1400x787.jpg 2x\" alt=\"\" class=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\">\n<\/picture>                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/cs2-added-a-rank-up-reward-for-your-pet\">\n                            CS2 added a rank-up reward for your pet                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2><strong>NAVI\u2019s position in VRS continues to fall<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In the current Valve Ranking, NAVI are only in 25th place. For a team that has consistently remained among the strongest in the world over the past years, this already creates a real risk of being left without the necessary number of points by the end of the ranking cycle.<\/p>\n<p>The situation is also complicated by recent results. Over the last three months, NAVI have a 37.5% win rate, and among their latest matches, the team lost to MOUZ, Aurora, G2, and M80. Because of this, every next tournament and every win can seriously affect the final position.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_429355\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-429355\" style=\"width: 1920px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-429355\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-1400x788.jpg 1400w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-1200x675.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-533x300.jpg 533w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/55496179312_edb51b9300_k-1067x600.jpg 1067w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-429355\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo Copyright by BLAST<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Why 45% should not be treated as a final figure<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>At the same time, this forecast cannot yet be considered fully accurate. The system may still not include all future tournaments that will influence the distribution of VRS points before the final formation of the Major participant list.<\/p>\n<p>Because of this, the 45% probability reflects the current model based on the available calendar. The appearance of new ranked tournaments, the results of NAVI\u2019s competitors, and the team\u2019s own performances could change this figure quite significantly.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 club-section__load-more-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/danish-charity-launches-thrift-store-for-cs2-skins\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <picture class=\"\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-768x432.jpg.webp 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-1400x788.jpg.webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-768x432.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-1400x788.jpg 2x\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-768x432.jpg.webp 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-1400x788.jpg.webp 2x\" type=\"image\/webp\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-768x432.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-1400x788.jpg 2x\">\n<img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-768x432.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1172-2560x1440-kartinka-top-1400x788.jpg 2x\" alt=\"\" class=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\">\n<\/picture>                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/danish-charity-launches-thrift-store-for-cs2-skins\">\n                            Danish charity launches thrift store for CS2 skins                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2><strong>The fight for the Major remains open<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Right now, NAVI have found themselves in a situation where qualification can no longer be treated as a formality. The team needs strong results at the upcoming tournaments in order to climb back up the ranking and avoid depending on poor performances from competitors.<\/p>\n<p>That is why the key number here is not 45% itself, but how close NAVI have come to the danger zone. The situation can still change before the end of the ranking race, but the team has less and less room for another series of early exits.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NAVI\u2019s fight for a spot at the next Major is becoming increasingly tense. A new separate page with chance calculations shows how unstable the team\u2019s position currently remains before the final tournaments of the ranking cycle. NAVI received only 45% chances According to the current calculation, NAVI have a 45% chance of qualifying for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":429354,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[4695],"class_list":["post-429352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-pgl-major-singapore-2026"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NAVI have a 45% chance of qualifying for the Major in Singapore<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A new Major chances model estimates NAVI\u2019s qualification probability at 45%, but the calculation may still change significantly.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/navi-have-a-45-chance-of-qualifying-for-the-major-in-singapore\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NAVI have a 45% chance of qualifying for the Major in Singapore\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new Major chances model estimates NAVI\u2019s qualification probability at 45%, but the calculation may still change significantly.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/navi-have-a-45-chance-of-qualifying-for-the-major-in-singapore\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CS2 &amp; CS:GO Articles, News, Events | Skin.Club Community\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-30T09:57:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" 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