{"id":432336,"date":"2026-10-09T19:35:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T19:35:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/?p=432336"},"modified":"2026-10-09T19:35:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T19:35:32","slug":"prediction-for-mouz-vs-spirit-at-esl-pro-league-season-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/prediction-for-mouz-vs-spirit-at-esl-pro-league-season-24","title":{"rendered":"Prediction for MOUZ vs Spirit at ESL Pro League Season 24"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>MOUZ and Spirit meet in the semifinal of ESL Pro League Season 24, and the winner reaches the final. Spirit sit 1st in the VRS, while MOUZ rank 2nd. In addition, the two teams already played each other at this event on October 5, and MOUZ won 2\u20130.<\/p>\n<h2>Format &amp; Tournament Specifics<\/h2>\n<p>This is a semifinal at ESL Pro League Season 24, so every map will matter. Spirit are the top-ranked team in the VRS and on HLTV, where they sit 1st. MOUZ, however, are 3rd on HLTV. Still, they come in on a four-match win streak and have already beaten Spirit once at this tournament. As a result, this rematch has a clear storyline.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 club-section__load-more-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/spirit-beat-falcons-2-0-in-esl-pro-league-s24-quarter-final\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <picture class=\"\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-768x439.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-1400x801.jpg 2x\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-768x439.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-1400x801.jpg 2x\">\n<img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-768x439.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22595-e1791573224791-1400x801.jpg 2x\" alt=\"\" class=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\">\n<\/picture>                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/spirit-beat-falcons-2-0-in-esl-pro-league-s24-quarter-final\">\n                            Spirit Beat Falcons 2-0 in ESL Pro League S24 Quarter-Final                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Current Form<\/h2>\n<h3>MOUZ: four wins in a row and a recent win over Spirit<\/h3>\n<p>MOUZ beat FURIA 2:0 twice, and they also won 2:0 against Spirit and M80. However, their only recent loss came against FURIA, 1:2. Therefore, they enter this semifinal with plenty of confidence.<\/p>\n<p>Recent results:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ 2:0 FURIA<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ 2:0 Spirit<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ 2:0 FURIA<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ 2:0 M80<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">MOUZ 1:2 FURIA<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The main player to watch is Spinx. He posts a 1.16 rating, 0.70 kills per round, 0.59 deaths per round, 77.7% KAST, a 1.07 multi-kill rating, +1.14% round swing and 78.4 ADR. He also keeps his deaths low. However, he faces a tough duel here.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_432338\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-432338\" style=\"width: 1920px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-432338\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1281\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-1400x934.jpg 1400w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-1049x700.jpg 1049w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_21563-899x600.jpg 899w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-432338\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo Copyright by ESL.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>Spirit: two straight wins, but a recent loss to MOUZ<\/h3>\n<p>Spirit beat Falcons and M80 2:0, and they also won 2:1 against PARIVISION. However, they lost 0:2 to 1win and 0:2 to MOUZ. As a result, their form is less stable than MOUZ\u2019s, even though they are still the top-ranked team.<\/p>\n<p>Recent results:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Spirit 2:0 Falcons<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Spirit 2:0 M80<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Spirit 0:2 1win<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Spirit 0:2 MOUZ<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Spirit 2:1 PARIVISION<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Their key player is donk. He posts a 1.40 rating, 0.91 kills per round, 0.67 deaths per round, 75.8% KAST, a 1.47 multi-kill rating, +2.97% round swing and 93.8 ADR. Moreover, he leads Spinx in rating, kills per round, multi-kill rating, round swing and ADR. For example, his ADR of 93.8 is far above Spinx\u2019s 78.4. However, Spinx has fewer deaths per round and a higher KAST.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_432337\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-432337\" style=\"width: 1920px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-432337\" src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1281\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-1400x934.jpg 1400w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-1049x700.jpg 1049w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20261009_Adela-Sznajder_EPLS24-KTW_22791-899x600.jpg 899w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-432337\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo Copyright by ESL.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Spirit hold the edge this year. The two teams have met six times in 2026. Spirit won four series, and MOUZ won two. On maps, Spirit lead 10\u20136, and none of these 16 maps went to overtime.<\/p>\n<p>Spirit won three series in a row at the start of the year. On February 8 at IEM Krak\u00f3w 2026, they won 2\u20130 with 13\u20133 on Mirage and 13\u20138 on Dust2. On April 17 at IEM Rio 2026, they won 2\u20130 again, with 13\u20138 on Mirage and 13\u20135 on Dust2. On May 16 at PGL Astana 2026, Spirit took Nuke 13\u20132 and Dust2 13\u20133.<\/p>\n<p>Then MOUZ hit back. On August 2 at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals, they won 3\u20131. They took Nuke 13\u201310, Mirage 13\u20134 and Dust2 13\u20138, while Spirit won Ancient 13\u20139.<\/p>\n<p>On September 6 at BLAST Open Porto 2026, Spirit won 3\u20131. They took Nuke 13\u20136, Ancient 13\u20133 and Dust2 13\u20138, and MOUZ won Mirage 13\u201311.<\/p>\n<p>Most recently, MOUZ won 2\u20130 at ESL Pro League Season 24 on October 5. They took Mirage 13\u201311 and Dust2 13\u20135.<\/p>\n<h2>Map Pool &amp; Veto<\/h2>\n<p>Win rate over the past 3 months (MOUZ | Spirit):<\/p>\n<ul class=\"article-list-pink\">\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Cache: 50% (6 maps) | 56% (9 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Dust2: 64% (11 maps) | 73% (15 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Mirage: 92% (13 maps) | 50% (10 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Inferno: 100% (6 maps) | \u2014 (0 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Nuke: 70% (10 maps) | 67% (6 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Ancient: 33% (9 maps) | 90% (10 maps)<\/li>\n<li class=\"article-list-pink__item\">Anubis: \u2014 (0 maps) | 88% (8 maps)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Expected veto:<\/strong> MOUZ will almost certainly ban Ancient, where Spirit win 90% over ten maps and MOUZ win only 33%. In return, Spirit have a clear reason to ban Mirage, where MOUZ hold an elite 92% over 13 maps.<\/p>\n<p>After those bans, MOUZ can pick Inferno, where they have won all six recent maps and Spirit have played none. Meanwhile, Spirit can answer with Dust2, where they win 73% over a large 15-map sample against MOUZ\u2019s 64%. Anubis is another strong option for Spirit at 88%, while MOUZ have not played it recently. Nuke looks like the most likely decider, with 70% for MOUZ and 67% for Spirit.<\/p>\n<p><strong>VRS forecast:<\/strong> MOUZ currently have 1957 points and sit 2nd. A win would add 7 points, taking them to 1957 + 7 = 1964, and they would stay 2nd. A loss would cost them 37 points, taking them to 1957 \u2212 37 = 1920 and dropping them to 3rd place.<\/p>\n<p>Spirit have 2013 points and sit 1st. A win would add 2 points, taking them to 2013 + 2 = 2015, and they would stay 1st. A loss would cost them 44 points, taking them to 2013 \u2212 44 = 1969, but they would still stay 1st.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"article__content grid-cards-col xl-w-100\">\n    <p class=\"article-h3\">read more<\/p>\n    <div class=\"grid-1 gap-12 mb-12 club-section__load-more-parent xl-w-100\">\n        <article class=\"club-hover-connect-parent\">\n    <div class=\"club-top-line\"><\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-row club-gutter-none\">\n                    <div class=\"club-col-4 club-col-6-xs\">\n                <figure class=\"picture-16x9 picture-with-gradient\">\n                    <a class=\"club-hover-connect club-hover-connect-img\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/astralis-bench-hooxi-and-jabbi\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n                        <picture class=\"\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(max-width: 640px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-768x443.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-1400x807.jpg 2x\">\n<source class=\"\" media=\"(min-width: 641px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-768x443.jpg 1x, https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-1400x807.jpg 2x\">\n<img src=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-768x443.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/G_wOQqcW0AAtuYe-e1791568695442-1400x807.jpg 2x\" alt=\"\" class=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\">\n<\/picture>                    <\/a>\n                <\/figure>\n            <\/div>\n        \n        <div class=\"club-col-8 club-col-6-xs club-box-bg--gradient\">\n            <div class=\"club-box-def club-full-height\">\n                <div class=\"club-dynamic-dotted-wrap club-full-height\">\n                    <h3 class=\"club-h4-title\">\n                        <a class=\"club-link-primary club-hover-connect club-dynamic-dotted__text\" href=\"https:\/\/community.skin.club\/en\/news\/astralis-bench-hooxi-and-jabbi\">\n                            Astralis Bench HooXi and jabbi                        <\/a>\n                    <\/h3>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"club-bottom-line\"><\/div>\n<\/article>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>MOUZ have real arguments. They are on a four-match win streak, and they beat Spirit 2\u20130 on October 5 at this same tournament. In addition, Mirage and Inferno give them two very strong map options.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Spirit look like the better side here. donk leads Spinx in most key stats, and Spirit have won four of the six series between these teams in 2026. Moreover, they have strong, proven map options in Ancient, Anubis and Dust2. However, MOUZ\u2019s numbers on Mirage and Inferno show they can take at least one map, so expect a close series.<\/p>\n<p>If MOUZ ban Ancient and win Inferno, they can push Spirit to a decider. Spirit will need Dust2 and a strong Anubis or Nuke to reach the final.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Projected result: Spirit 2\u20131 MOUZ<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MOUZ and Spirit meet in the semifinal of ESL Pro League Season 24, and the winner reaches the final. Spirit sit 1st in the VRS, while MOUZ rank 2nd. In addition, the two teams already played each other at this event on October 5, and MOUZ won 2\u20130. Format &amp; Tournament Specifics This is a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":432339,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[836],"class_list":["post-432336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-esl-pro-league-season-24"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Prediction for MOUZ vs Spirit at ESL Pro League Season 24<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"MOUZ vs Spirit prediction for the ESL Pro League Season 24 semifinal: form, 2026 H2H, map pool, VRS forecast and score pick.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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