The race for Americas spots at the PGL Singapore Major looks almost settled after iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026. However, one team still has a real chance to change the picture. The updated forecast gives Imperial a 31.4% chance to finish in the top nine.
This matters because the top nine is close to complete, yet the final places are not safe. If Imperial wins a string of matches and a LAN, while NRG or Wildcard lose several key games, the order could flip quickly.
How the Forecast Works
The new prediction follows iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 and covers the race to the top nine in the Americas. It is based on 50,000 simulated seasons, which include 44.4 million matches. The simulation used the Calibrated VRS match odds model and ran on 28 September 2026 at 02:11.
In addition, the LAN changed the race in a clear way. Wildcard went deep at the event, and that result made things harder for Imperial, paiN and ShindeN.
Who Is Close to a Major Spot
Three teams are almost certain to qualify. Legacy, FURIA and MIBR all sit above 99.9%. Liquid follows at 99.9%, while 9z has 99.2% and M80 has 95.7%. DENDELE is next with 87.5%.
The final two places in the top nine are less secure. NRG has a 70.6% chance, and Wildcard has 65.7%. Imperial is right behind them at 31.4%, with a projected finish range of 8th to 13th place.
Further down, the odds drop sharply. paiN has 11.4%, ShindeN has 10.4%, Fluxo has 9.6% and BESTIA has 6.6%. Meanwhile, SportsBetExpert has 5.4%, Voca has 4.5% and Galorys has 1.8%.
What the Analyst Says
The author of the update says the race looks quite set already. However, Imperial’s 31% shows that the picture can still change. A win streak and a LAN title for Imperial, combined with heavy losses for NRG or Wildcard, would make that happen.
He adds that the race is not completely over. The iBUYPOWER LAN and Wildcard’s deep run made things hard for Imperial, paiN and ShindeN. ShindeN is currently playing in EPL, and a surprise run there could help the team make a move.
Final Thoughts
According to the source, the Americas race for the PGL Singapore Major is close to decided. Legacy, FURIA, MIBR, Liquid, 9z, M80 and DENDELE all have strong odds, and NRG and Wildcard hold the last two places in the top nine. Their advantage over Imperial is large, but it is not final.
As a result, the remaining tournaments will decide how much room for change is left. Imperial needs wins and a LAN title, and NRG or Wildcard must slip at the same time. ShindeN’s EPL results could also add some pressure to the race. For now, however, Wildcard’s run at iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 has given the top nine a much clearer shape.
