BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 will continue its Opening Round with a match between G2 and MOUZ in Group B. The teams will play a Bo3 series: the winner will advance to the Upper Final to compete for a Playoffs spot, while the loser will drop to the Lower Final. The gap in the world rankings is significant, with MOUZ in fourth place and G2 ranked 11th. MOUZ also hold a convincing head-to-head advantage and enter the tournament following their victory at IEM Beijing 2026. Despite MOUZ’s status as favorites, G2’s individual potential and the teams’ map pools leave room for a competitive matchup.
BLAST RIVALS 2026 SEASON 2 — FORMAT OVERVIEW
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 will take place in Hong Kong from November 11 to 15, featuring eight teams. The group stage follows a Double Elimination format with Bo3 matches. The winner of G2 vs MOUZ will advance to the Upper Final of Group B, where they will face the winner of Spirit vs FUT. The losing team will drop to the Lower Final and meet the loser of that matchup. The Upper Final and Lower Final winners will qualify for the Playoffs, while the two teams that lose their respective Lower Finals will be eliminated.
The tournament features a total prize pool of $1,000,000, with $350,000 allocated to players and $650,000 to clubs. The champions will receive $125,000 in prize money and a $125,000 club share, while the runners-up will earn $75,000, with an additional $125,000 going to their organization. The Playoffs will follow a Single Elimination format with Bo3 matches and a Bo5 Grand Final. MOUZ will aim to extend their winning streak following their triumph at IEM Beijing 2026, while G2 will look to end their poor run of results and capitalize on their roster’s individual potential.
HEAD-TO-HEAD — MOUZ HOLD THE ADVANTAGE
According to the presented statistics, MOUZ lead G2 6:1 in maps. Their most recent meeting took place on May 10 at PGL Astana 2026, where MOUZ secured a 2:1 victory. They won Inferno 13:7 and Mirage 13:10, while G2 responded with a 16:14 overtime victory on Dust2. This result demonstrated MOUZ’s ability to adapt and control crucial moments, although G2 proved capable of challenging their opponents and securing a closely contested map.
The teams previously met at IEM Kraków 2026 and BLAST Open London 2025. At IEM Kraków, MOUZ won Dust2 13:7 and Overpass 16:13, while at BLAST Open London, they secured victories on Mirage 13:10 and Ancient 13:10. Across the seven maps presented, MOUZ therefore hold a 6:1 advantage and lead 3:0 in series. G2 have not won a single Bo3 against MOUZ in these encounters, highlighting the European roster’s ability to consistently convert their advantages in decisive rounds.
CURRENT FORM
G2 — losing streak and consistency issues
G2 enter BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 following a difficult stretch of the season. They lost 1:2 to Aurora at IEM Beijing 2026, finishing the tournament in 13th–16th place. Their recent results also include 1:2 defeats against PARIVISION and DENDELE, 0:2 losses to Aurora and Natus Vincere, and another 1:2 defeat against PARIVISION. Six consecutive losses represent G2’s longest losing streak since August 2021. The team have struggled to convert advantages even against opponents ranked below them, raising concerns about their ability to close out competitive matches.
NertZ has the strongest individual statistics among the players presented, with a 1.11 rating over the last three months. He averages 0.71 kills and 0.68 deaths per round, with 72.2% KAST, a 1.16 multi-kill rating, and 80.5 ADR. Alongside huNter-, MATYS, r1nkle, and HeavyGod, he forms a roster with considerable individual potential. NertZ’s firepower and r1nkle’s AWP performance will be essential for creating early advantages, while huNter-‘s leadership and MATYS’ consistency could help G2 challenge MOUZ’s organized approach.
MOUZ — IEM Beijing champions on a winning streak
MOUZ enter the tournament following a dominant performance at IEM Beijing 2026. They defeated The MongolZ 3:0 in the Grand Final, winning Dust2 13:5, Mirage 13:6, and Ancient 13:4. The victory secured the championship title and extended their winning streak to six matches. Their previous results include 2:0 victories over BETBOOM, PARIVISION, BETBOOM again, TYLOO, and Vitality. MOUZ have therefore won all six of their most recent matches without dropping a map, building a streak of thirteen consecutive map victories. These results highlight their ability to maintain control against opponents of different levels.
Spinx leads the presented individual statistics with a 1.16 rating over the last three months. He averages 0.71 kills and 0.59 deaths per round, with 76.2% KAST, a 1.06 multi-kill rating, and 78.8 ADR. Alongside torzsi, xertioN, PR, and xeleX, he forms a roster that combines individual firepower with strong team discipline. Spinx’s consistency, torzsi’s AWP performance, and xeleX’s aggressive decisions remain important components of MOUZ’s success. Meanwhile, xertioN was named MVP of IEM Beijing 2026, further emphasizing his contribution to the team’s recent achievements.
MAP POOL & VETO
Statistics over the last 3 months (G2 | MOUZ):
- Cache: 20% | 44%
- Dust2: 33% | 62%
- Mirage: 57% | 85%
- Inferno: 57% | 80%
- Nuke: 0% | 69%
- Ancient: 56% | 60%
- Anubis: 67% | —
The “—” symbol indicates insufficient statistical data based on the minimum requirement of three maps played. MOUZ have not played Anubis during the period presented, while G2 have a 67% win rate across six matches. Statistics for the remaining maps are based on at least three matches, although G2 have played only three times on Nuke.
Expected veto:
- G2 could logically ban Nuke. They have lost all three matches on the map over the last three months, while MOUZ boast a 69% win rate across thirteen matches. This represents MOUZ’s largest statistical advantage in the current map pool. Removing Nuke would allow G2 to avoid a particularly unfavorable matchup and focus on more competitive options. The presented veto simulation assigns a 41% probability to this ban, making it one of the most likely scenarios.
- MOUZ, meanwhile, could remove Anubis. They have not played the map during the last three months, while G2 hold a 67% win rate across six matches. The lack of recent practice makes Anubis a risky option for MOUZ, particularly given their opponents’ positive record. Banning it would eliminate a potential weakness and allow the team to rely on its established strengths. The presented simulation assigns a 75% probability to an Anubis ban, making it the most likely outcome.
Likely maps:
- Ancient looks like one of G2’s strongest potential picks. They have a 56% win rate across sixteen matches, compared to MOUZ’s 60% across ten. Despite their opponents’ slight statistical advantage, Ancient remains one of G2’s more competitive options. Anubis would also be attractive, given G2’s 67% win rate and MOUZ’s lack of recent matches, but its high ban probability makes it unlikely to remain available. According to the presented simulation, Ancient is G2’s most likely pick, with a 45% probability.
- MOUZ could respond with Mirage, where they have an 85% win rate across twenty matches compared to G2’s 57% across seven. Inferno offers another significant advantage, with MOUZ at 80% and G2 at 57%. Both maps allow MOUZ to capitalize on Spinx’s individual performance and xertioN’s aggressive play. Mirage is particularly favorable, as MOUZ have already defeated G2 twice on the map in their recorded head-to-head meetings. The simulation suggests Ancient for G2 and Mirage for MOUZ, with Inferno potentially remaining as the decider. This selection would give G2 an opportunity to compete on Ancient, but MOUZ would retain substantial advantages on the other two maps.
KEY DUELS
- NertZ vs Spinx — a matchup between the highest-performing players on their respective teams. NertZ has a 1.11 rating and 80.5 ADR, while Spinx records a 1.16 rating and 78.8 ADR. Both average 0.71 kills per round, but Spinx leads in KAST, 76.2% compared to 72.2%, and has fewer deaths per round, 0.59 compared to 0.68. However, NertZ has a higher multi-kill rating of 1.16 compared to 1.06. G2 will need NertZ to maintain his individual performance throughout the series to counter Spinx’s consistency.
- r1nkle vs torzsi — an AWP matchup that could influence opening engagements and map control. r1nkle must provide G2 with defensive stability and opportunities to secure early numerical advantages. torzsi, meanwhile, remains a key component of MOUZ’s structure, capable of applying pressure through his individual performance. Their duels on Ancient and Mirage could be particularly important, as controlling long-range angles and securing opening kills may determine the outcome of crucial rounds. G2 will need r1nkle to challenge MOUZ’s disciplined positioning and prevent them from establishing comfortable early advantages.
- MATYS vs xertioN — a rifle matchup that could determine trading efficiency and control of key areas. MATYS plays an important role in G2’s attacking structure and can generate pressure through proactive positioning. xertioN, meanwhile, enters the tournament as the reigning IEM Beijing 2026 MVP and remains one of MOUZ’s most influential players. Their encounters could be decisive when either team needs to regain control of a round. MATYS’ ability to counter xertioN’s aggression will be particularly important for G2.
PREDICTION
G2’s best opportunity lies in securing a favorable map selection and improving their execution in decisive rounds. Ancient offers a relatively balanced matchup, while NertZ’s 1.11 rating and 80.5 ADR provide the individual firepower needed to challenge MOUZ. However, their six-match losing streak, poor results on Dust2 and Cache, and unfavorable head-to-head record raise serious concerns. Even if G2 remain competitive on their own pick, they will need a significant improvement in team coordination to turn that advantage into a map victory.
MOUZ enter as clear favorites following their IEM Beijing 2026 title and thirteen consecutive map victories. Their superior results on Mirage, Inferno, and Nuke, combined with Spinx’s consistency and xertioN’s recent MVP-winning form, give them multiple ways to control the series. The 6:1 head-to-head map record further supports their advantage. Although G2’s individual talent could produce competitive stretches, MOUZ’s stronger current form, deeper map pool, and more reliable teamplay make a straight-map victory the most likely outcome.
Predicted result: G2 0–2 MOUZ
