PARIVISION and Natus Vincere meet in the 2-2 match of the ESL Pro League Season 24 group stage. The winner moves into the playoffs, and the loser leaves the tournament. PARIVISION rank 14th in the VRS, while Natus Vincere sit one spot behind at 15th.
Format & Tournament Specifics
This is an elimination match at ESL Pro League Season 24. The 2-2 pool decides who survives, so neither team can afford a slip. As a result, both sides will likely play their most reliable maps. The result also matters for the VRS, because the two teams sit next to each other in the ranking.
Current Form
PARIVISION: strong on Ancient, but inconsistent against top sides
PARIVISION have beaten G2 and Legacy in recent series. However, they lost to FURIA and Spirit in three maps and fell 0:2 to magic. As a result, their form looks uneven.
Recent results:
- PARIVISION 2:1 G2
- PARIVISION 1:2 FURIA
- PARIVISION 1:2 Spirit
- PARIVISION 2:1 Legacy
- PARIVISION 0:2 magic
The key player is Jame. He posts a 1.05 rating, 0.65 kills per round, 0.56 deaths per round, 71.0% KAST, a 0.97 multi-kill rating, +1.38% round swing and 66.4 ADR. He loses fewer rounds than most players, and his round swing is excellent.
Natus Vincere: dangerous, but often a map short
Natus Vincere beat 9z and G2 without dropping a map. Meanwhile, they lost three-map series to Falcons, Vitality and MOUZ. Therefore, they can fight with the elite, yet they struggle to close those series.
Recent results:
- Natus Vincere 1:2 Falcons
- Natus Vincere 2:0 9z
- Natus Vincere 1:2 Vitality
- Natus Vincere 2:0 G2
- Natus Vincere 1:2 MOUZ
Their key player is w0nderful. He posts a 1.11 rating, 0.73 kills per round, 0.60 deaths per round, 72.4% KAST, a 1.15 multi-kill rating, +1.00% round swing and 71.4 ADR. Jame beats him on deaths per round and round swing. However, w0nderful leads on rating, kills, KAST, multi-kill rating and damage.
Head-to-Head
The two teams played twice in 2026, and Natus Vincere won both series 2–1 on maps.
At IEM Kraków 2026 on January 31, Natus Vincere won Ancient 13–5. PARIVISION took Anubis 19–16 in overtime. Natus Vincere then won Dust2 13–11.
At BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 on March 28, Natus Vincere won Mirage 13–7. PARIVISION took Inferno 13–8. Finally, Natus Vincere won Dust2 13–11.
In total, PARIVISION have won two maps and Natus Vincere four. Notably, both series went to a decider, and the final map on Dust2 ended 13–11 each time.
Map Pool & Veto
Win rate over the past 3 months (PARIVISION | Natus Vincere):
- Cache: 0% (3 maps) | 100% (3 maps)
- Dust2: 33% (6 maps) | — (0 maps)
- Mirage: 33% (3 maps) | 29% (7 maps)
- Inferno: 38% (8 maps) | 38% (8 maps)
- Nuke: — (0 maps) | 75% (4 maps)
- Ancient: 78% (9 maps) | 0% (3 maps)
- Anubis: 33% (3 maps) | 67% (3 maps)
Expected veto: PARIVISION will almost certainly ban Cache, where they have lost all three maps. In return, Natus Vincere have a clear reason to remove Ancient. PARIVISION win 78% of their games there over nine maps, while Natus Vincere have lost all three of theirs.
After those bans, Natus Vincere can lean on Nuke, where they hold 75%, and PARIVISION have no recent games. Anubis is another option for Natus Vincere at 67%. On the other hand, PARIVISION lack a safe pick. Their best remaining numbers are 38% on Inferno and 33% on Dust2 or Mirage. Therefore, Inferno looks like the most likely decider, since both teams sit at 38% there on an identical eight-map sample.
VRS forecast: PARIVISION currently have 1559 points and sit 14th. A win would lift them to 1559 + 46 = 1605 points and 11th place. A loss would cost them 14 points, taking them to 1559 − 14 = 1545 and 16th place.
Natus Vincere have 1555 points and sit 15th. A win would move them to 1555 + 50 = 1605 points and 11th place. A loss would give 1555 − 13 = 1542 points and 17th place.
Prediction
Both teams enter this match under maximum pressure, since a loss ends their ESL Pro League Season 24 run. PARIVISION have real arguments. Their Ancient numbers are elite, and Jame is very efficient at staying alive and winning rounds. In addition, they took a map off Natus Vincere in both previous series.
Still, Natus Vincere look like the better side here. They won both previous series, and w0nderful leads Jame on most key stats. Moreover, their Cache and Nuke numbers give them strong map options, while PARIVISION have little to pick without Ancient. However, Natus Vincere’s recent three-map losses show that this will not be easy.
If Natus Vincere remove Ancient and pick well, they should secure a playoff spot. Expect a close decider, probably on Inferno.
Projected result: Natus Vincere 2–1 PARIVISION
