Prediction for Spirit vs MOUZ at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2

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Nov 13

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Spirit and MOUZ meet in the playoff semifinal of BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2, and the winner reaches the final. MOUZ sit 1st in the VRS, while Spirit rank 4th. In addition, MOUZ won the last three series between these teams, so Spirit will look to break that run.

This is a semifinal in the playoffs of BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2, so every map will matter. MOUZ are the top-ranked team in the VRS, while Spirit are 4th. As a result, MOUZ come in as slight favorites. Still, the two teams have split eight series in 2026, so the matchup is very even.

Prediction for FURIA vs Falcons at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2

Current Form

Spirit: three wins in the last five matches

Spirit beat G2, FUT and FURIA 2:1. However, they lost 1:2 to NAVI and 1:2 to MOUZ. As a result, their form is uneven, although they come in after a win over G2.

The key player is donk. He posts a 1.34 rating, 0.90 kills per round, 0.67 deaths per round, 75.6% KAST, a 1.41 multi-kill rating, +2.27% round swing and 92.7 ADR. Moreover, he leads Spinx in rating, kills per round, multi-kill rating, round swing and ADR. For example, his ADR of 92.7 is far above Spinx’s 79.1. However, Spinx has fewer deaths per round and a higher KAST.

MOUZ: four wins in the last five matches

MOUZ beat Vitality and BetBoom Team 2:0, and they also won 2:1 against FUT. In addition, they took a 3:0 win over The MongolZ in a best-of-five. However, their only recent loss came against G2, 1:2. Therefore, they enter this semifinal in strong form.

Their main player to watch is Spinx. He posts a 1.16 rating, 0.72 kills per round, 0.60 deaths per round, 76.6% KAST, a 1.06 multi-kill rating, +1.28% round swing and 79.1 ADR. He leads donk in deaths per round and KAST. However, he trails him on every other key stat, so he faces a very tough duel.

Head-to-Head

The sides are level. In 2026, the two teams have met eight times, and each side won four series. On maps, Spirit lead 12 to 10, and one of these 22 maps went to overtime.

The first meeting was at IEM Kraków 2026 on February 8, and the result was Spirit 2:0 MOUZ. After that, at IEM Rio 2026 on April 17, it was Spirit 2:0 MOUZ again, and at PGL Astana 2026 on May 16, Spirit 2:0 MOUZ once more.

Then MOUZ hit back. At BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals on August 2, the result was MOUZ 3:1 Spirit. However, Spirit answered at BLAST Open Porto 2026 on September 6 with Spirit 3:1 MOUZ.

In October, MOUZ took control. At ESL Pro League Season 24, the results were MOUZ 2:0 Spirit on October 5 and MOUZ 2:1 Spirit on October 10. Most recently, at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 on October 27, it was MOUZ 2:1 Spirit.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rate over the past 3 months (Spirit | MOUZ):

Cache: 56% (9 maps) | 45% (11 maps)
Dust2: 67% (12 maps) | 58% (12 maps)
Mirage: 57% (14 maps) | 86% (22 maps)
Inferno: 0 maps | 73% (11 maps)
Nuke: 70% (10 maps) | 73% (15 maps)
Ancient: 73% (11 maps) | 55% (11 maps)
Anubis: 67% (9 maps) | 0 maps

Expected veto: Spirit will almost certainly ban Mirage, where MOUZ win 86% over a huge 22-map sample. In addition, they are likely to remove Inferno, where MOUZ hold 73% and Spirit have played none. In return, MOUZ have a clear reason to ban Ancient and Anubis, where Spirit win 73% and 67%.

After those bans, Spirit can pick Dust2, where they win 67% over 12 maps against MOUZ’s 58%. Meanwhile, MOUZ can answer with Nuke, where they hold 73% over 15 maps against Spirit’s 70% over ten. Therefore, Cache looks like the most likely decider, with 56% for Spirit and 45% for MOUZ. However, Spirit’s edge there is small.

VRS forecast: Spirit currently have 1847 points and sit 4th. With a win, they would reach 1884 points and stay 4th. With a loss, they would drop to 1838 points and fall to 5th place.

MOUZ have 1980 points and sit 1st. With a win, they would reach 1992 points and stay 1st. However, with a loss, they would drop to 1963 points, but they would still stay 1st.

m0NESY: “I wasn’t feeling the AWP today”

Prediction

Spirit have real arguments. They won four of the eight series between these teams in 2026, and donk leads Spinx in rating, kills per round, multi-kill rating, round swing and ADR. In addition, Ancient, Anubis and Dust2 give them three strong map options.

Still, MOUZ look slightly better here. They rank first in the VRS, and they come in with four wins in the last five matches. Moreover, MOUZ won the last three series between these teams, and they hold strong numbers on Mirage, Inferno and Nuke. However, Spirit’s Ancient and Anubis numbers mean this series should be close.

If MOUZ ban Ancient and Anubis and win Nuke, they can take control of the series. Meanwhile, Spirit will need Dust2 or Cache and a strong donk to pull off the upset.

Projected result: MOUZ 2:1 Spirit