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Match Prediction Spirit vs Virtus.pro — BLAST Bounty 2025 Season 2 Quarterfinal

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Aug 14
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At the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season 2 LAN Finals, we have a quarterfinal showdown between the current world No. 1 Spirit and the No. 16 ranked Virtus.pro. The format is Best of 3, with more than just a semifinal spot at stake — it’s also a chance to move closer to a prestigious title. For Spirit, it’s an opportunity to extend their dominant run and cement their position as the strongest team in the world. For Virtus.pro, it’s a chance to prove that their revamped roster can challenge the elite and deliver a major upset.

Previous Meeting — Spirit’s Control Before VP’s Roster Changes

The teams last met on March 24, 2025, during the BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 group stage. Spirit claimed a convincing 2–0 victory, showcasing their superiority in both tactics and individual performance.

Anubis (Spirit pick): 13–9 — The “Dragons” seized the initiative from the start, with donk’s aggressive entries and sh1ro’s flawless AWP play denying VP any chance to gain momentum.

Ancient (VP pick): 13–9 — Despite VP’s early lead, Spirit quickly adapted, dismantled their opponent’s attack plans, and closed out key rounds thanks to chopper’s clutch plays and zont1x’s consistency.

That match clearly demonstrated the gap in form between the two teams at the time. Since then, Virtus.pro have made significant changes:

FL4MUS left the team.

He was replaced by Perfecto, one of the most experienced players in the world, known for his stability and clutch potential.
This addition was aimed at boosting late-round confidence and discipline, although full roster synergy took time to develop.

Group Stage Path — BLAST Bounty 2025 Season 2

Spirit — Perfect run with maximum confidence

The Dragons breezed through the group stage without a single loss. They beat Passion UA (2–1) and G2 (2–1), securing first place in the group. Their gameplay is balanced: fast-paced executes under chopper’s leadership, explosive form from donk, and w0nderful’s consistency in anchoring key positions.

Virtus.pro — Stable with some caveats

The Bears opened with a 2–0 win over MIBR, but the highlight of their group stage was a 2–1 victory against FaZe, where they showed composure in key moments.

Current Form

Spirit enter this match on a 7-series win streak across multiple tournaments, including two victories over MOUZ as well as wins against G2 and NAVI. donk remains the hottest player on the scene — a 1.41 rating over the past three months, 0.92 kills/round, and 97.4 ADR. The team thrives on rapid adaptation to opponents while maintaining a high tempo with minimal errors.

Virtus.pro, post-summer roster changes, display a mixed yet promising performance. FL1T remains their most consistent player (1.10 rating), Perfecto is fitting in quickly, adding depth to site holds, and electroNic provides experience and precise mid-round calls. The main question mark is new AWPer ICY, who is still searching for consistency — a potential weakness against w0nderful’s aggressive AWP.

Map Pool Analysis and Likely Veto

Map stats (last 3 months):

  • Dust2: Spirit 75% | VP 25%
  • Mirage: Spirit 75% | VP 33%
  • Inferno: Spirit — N/A | VP 83%
  • Nuke: Spirit 71% | VP — N/A
  • Train: Spirit 75% | VP 25%
  • Overpass: Spirit 100% (1 map) | VP 75%
  • Ancient: Spirit 83% | VP 33%

Predicted veto:

  • Spirit will likely remove Inferno (VP’s strongest win rate).
  • VP will likely remove Ancient (Spirit’s strongest map).

Possible picks:

  • Spirit: Mirage or Dust2 to leverage their aggressive style.
  • VP: Overpass, where they’ve shown confidence.

Potential decider:

  • Nuke looks the most likely third map, where the teams are more evenly matched.

Key Duels

  • donk vs FL1T — Star riflers deciding opening picks and trade battles.
  • sh1ro vs ICY — Experience vs youth; the AWP duel could be match-defining.
  • chopper vs electroNic — Contrasting IGL styles: fast aggression vs structured mid-rounds.

Prediction

Spirit head into this quarterfinal as clear favorites, boasting top form, a deep map pool, and the psychological edge from their previous 2–0 win over VP. The new Virtus.pro roster has more individual firepower and the potential to surprise, but to win they’ll need near-flawless execution in all areas. If VP can capitalize on their map pick and set the pace early, they could force a decider — but Spirit’s stability makes them the logical choice.

Predicted score: Spirit 2–0, or 2–1 if Virtus.pro take their map pick.

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