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Prediction for FURIA vs paiN — BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 2

News
Nov 11
59 views 5 mins read

BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 2 kicks off in Hong Kong, and the first day immediately brings viewers a heated Brazilian derby. FURIA and paiN will meet in the Opening Round of Group B, and this match will be a true test of strength for the two main representatives of South America. For FURIA, it is a chance to continue their run of dominance after winning IEM Chengdu 2025, while paiN will try to prove they can compete with the top teams after an unstable autumn.

BLAST RIVALS 2025 SEASON 2 — A LAN EVENT IN HONG KONG

The tournament runs from November 12 to 16 in Chek Lap Kok, Hong Kong. Eight participants will compete for a prize pool of $350,000. Among them are Vitality, FURIA, Falcons, Spirit, The MongolZ, paiN, TYLOO, and Passion UA. The format features Double Elimination Bo3 in the group stage and Single Elimination Bo3 in the playoffs. The grand final will be Bo5, and the winner will receive $125,000 and important VRS ranking points.

In Group B, where FURIA, paiN, Vitality, and TYLOO are playing, the competition promises to be intense. It is the match between the two Brazilian organizations that will open the tournament day and determine who gains the initial advantage in the upper bracket.

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HEAD-TO-HEAD — A BRAZILIAN CLASSIC

FURIA and paiN know each other better than anyone. Over the past year, they have faced each other nine times, with the balance almost even — FURIA have 5 wins against 4 for paiN (1 match ended in overtime). Their rivalry began back at BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, where paiN unexpectedly eliminated FURIA from the tournament, but later FalleN and company took revenge at FISSURE Playground 2, winning 2–0 (Dust2 13–10, Inferno 13–4).

This matchup always carries a special atmosphere — FURIA play as the favorites and represent the older generation, while paiN are trying to become the symbol of a renewed Brazilian scene.

CURRENT FORM

  • FURIA — A CHAMPION’S MARCH

FURIA (#2 HLTV, #1 VRS) come into BLAST Rivals in brilliant form. The team has won their last two tournaments — IEM Chengdu 2025 and Thunderpick World Championship 2025 — leaving no chances even for Vitality (3–0 in the final). Over the past three months, FURIA have a 77.4% win rate and are currently on a three-match winning streak.

The key players are putting up fantastic numbers: KSCERATO — 1.23 rating, 82.7 ADR, 71.9% KAST; FalleN consistently controls the pace, producing 0.76 kills per round and a 1.10 multikill rating, while YEKINDAR has fully adapted to the entry role, creating space and initiative.

In Chengdu, FURIA defeated Falcons (2–0), The MongolZ (2–0), and Vitality (3–0) without dropping a single map in the playoffs, confirming their status as the main favorite at BLAST Rivals.

  • paiN — FIGHTING FOR STABILITY

paiN (#15 HLTV, #16 VRS) arrive in Hong Kong after a disappointing IEM Chengdu, where they finished 9–12th. The team lost to Spirit (0–2) and The MongolZ (1–2), despite a solid performance against TYLOO (2–0). Their win rate over the last three months sits at exactly 50%.

The best player on paiN remains nqz (1.04 rating, 69.6 ADR, 77.9% KAST), who often drags the team through difficult situations. biguzera and dgt provide stable support, but the lack of tempo from snow and dav1deuS prevents the team from closing out matches against top-tier opponents.

Despite their efforts, paiN currently do not look ready to compete on equal terms with FURIA, especially in a Bo3.

MAP POOL & VETO

Statistics over the last 3 months (FURIA | paiN):

  1. Dust2: 55% | 57%
  2. Mirage: 64% | 57%
  3. Inferno: 67% | 50%
  4. Nuke: 78% | 50%
  5. Train: 75% | —
  6. Overpass: 86% | —
  7. Ancient: — | 20%

Expected veto:

  • paiN will ban Overpass — FURIA’s strongest map, where they have won 12 of their last 14 games.
  • FURIA will remove Ancient, where paiN feel the worst (20%).

Likely picks:

  • FURIA: Nuke — their favorite choice, with a stable 78% win rate and a strong team structure.
  • paiN: Mirage — a classic pick that gives nqz space to shine in open duels.

Decider: Inferno — a balanced map where recent encounters between these teams have often been decided in clutch situations.

KEY DUELS

  1. KSCERATO vs nqz — the main duel of the match. The first is the best Brazilian lurker in the world, the second is a talented AWPer who keeps paiN in the game. If nqz cannot stand up to FalleN and KSCERATO, paiN will lose their chances right from the start.
  2. FalleN vs biguzera — a battle between two captains. FalleN plays with experience and cold calculation, while biguzera relies more on intuition. In a Bo3, this may become the decisive factor.
  3. YEKINDAR vs snow — a contrast in tempo. YEKINDAR consistently opens rounds and gives FURIA a man advantage, while snow often loses entry duels (43% success rate).

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PREDICTION

The Brazilian derby at BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 2 promises to be emotional, but on paper the advantage lies entirely on the side of FURIA. The team has won the last two LAN tournaments, holds the best form in the world, and possesses a deep map pool. paiN are still searching for stability and rely heavily on individual bursts from nqz.

If paiN manage to impose a fight on Mirage or Inferno, the match could drag out, but overall FURIA look much more confident in every aspect of the game — from leadership to mechanics.

Predicted score: FURIA 2–0 paiN.

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