Alliance have seen their projected chance of reaching PGL Singapore Major 2026 fall to just 2% after an early elimination from 1win Private Club Season 2. The Swedish team lost both of their series in Belgrade and finished the event in 7th–8th place.
According to HLTV projections, winning RLG Tesla Cup is now the only realistic route for Alliance to significantly improve their Major position, but even a tournament victory would raise their qualification chance to only 22%.
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Alliance leave Belgrade without a series win
Alliance entered 1win Private Club Season 2 looking for VRS points but opened the tournament with a 0:2 defeat against The MongolZ.
That result sent them into the lower bracket, where they faced PRIVATE in an elimination series.
Alliance again lost 0:2, falling 11:13 on Mirage and 10:13 on Nuke to end their tournament after only two matches.
The exit continued a difficult run of results after Alliance had previously put themselves in a much stronger VRS position through performances at XSE Pro League and FISSURE Playground 3.
Major chances drop to 2%
The recent results have significantly changed the position of Alliance in the European race for PGL Singapore Major 2026.
Before the loss, the team were already outside the comfortable invitation range. The elimination from 1win Private Club Season 2 has now reduced their projected chance of qualifying to just 2%, according to HLTV simulations.
The number is a projection rather than mathematical elimination, meaning Alliance still have a path to Singapore. However, their remaining opportunities to gain enough VRS points are limited.
RLG Tesla Cup becomes crucial
RLG Tesla Cup is now the most important remaining event for Alliance before the Major invitation cutoff.
Even winning the tournament would only raise their projected qualification chance to approximately 22%, meaning the team would still depend heavily on results elsewhere in the European VRS race.
Alliance therefore need both a deep run of their own and favorable results from direct competitors to have a realistic chance of receiving a Major invitation.
The early elimination in Belgrade leaves them with little margin for error as the final weeks of the qualification race approach.
