Thunderpick World Championship 2026 has not started yet, but a clear favorite has already emerged before the tournament begins. According to bookmakers, Falcons have noticeably higher chances of becoming champions than any other participant, although the field of competitors still leaves enough room for an unexpected result.
Falcons received 38.88% to win the title
According to bookmakers’ estimates, Falcons’ probability of winning Thunderpick World Championship 2026 is 38.88%. This is the highest figure among the eight tournament participants and a significant gap over their closest pursuers.
This status looks logical considering the level of Falcons’ roster. The team arrives in Malta as one of the strongest lineups at the tournament, while m0NESY remains its main individual weapon, capable of changing the course of a series on his own.
FURIA and Legacy are the closest competitors
Bookmakers see FURIA as the second favorite with a 22.22% chance, while Legacy received 20.74%. Both Brazilian teams have already shown that they are capable of beating opponents at the highest level, so such high estimates do not look accidental.
At the same time, the gap between Falcons and these two teams remains significant. Roughly speaking, each of the Brazilian teams has about one-fifth of a chance to win the championship, while Falcons’ figure is approaching 40%.
Aurora and BetBoom remain behind
Aurora received 15.55% to win, which makes the team another notable contender for the title. BetBoom are rated much more modestly — only at 7.78%, so according to pre-tournament predictions, the team is already in the underdog category.
At the same time, the format of Thunderpick World Championship 2026 does not guarantee a calm path for the favorites. In the group stage, teams will play under the GSL system in a Bo3 format, while the playoffs will be played as Single Elimination, where one unsuccessful series immediately ends the fight for the title.
One million dollars and eight teams
The tournament will take place in Malta from October 14 to 18 and will feature eight teams. The total prize pool is $1 million, with $500,000 allocated to player payouts and another $500,000 to the club share.
The list of participants also includes 9z, PARIVISION, and Ninjas in Pyjamas. This makes the bracket fairly tight: even teams that bookmakers do not consider among the main contenders are capable of creating problems for the favorites in a short series.
Another chance for m0NESY to win a big title
For Falcons, this tournament will be another opportunity to confirm their status as a team expected to fight exclusively for first places. Special attention will once again be focused on m0NESY, because a significant part of the roster’s firepower is often built around his individual level.
However, the 38.88% figure also shows something else: even the main favorite has less than a half chance of winning. Falcons received the strongest pre-tournament position, but FURIA, Legacy, and Aurora still provide enough serious competition for the fight for the trophy not to look decided before the first match.
