The semifinal of BLAST Rivals 2025 Season 2 brings together Falcons and Vitality — two giants who have stayed inside the world’s top 3 throughout the year. Mechanical firepower from Falcons versus Vitality’s structural precision; m0NESY and NiKo against ZywOo and ropz in a Bo3 with one prize: a spot in the grand final.
Current Form & Context
Falcons — Returning to Stability
Falcons have finally regained their optimal form after an inconsistent summer. The kyxsan-led squad enters the semifinal on a three-match win streak, confidently defeating:
- Passion UA (2–0)
- Spirit (2–0)
m0NESY (1.30 rating, last 3 months) is experiencing one of the strongest peaks of his career, NiKo consistently delivers 80+ ADR, and both kyousuke and TeSeS are exceeding expectations on CT sides.
Vitality — A Structured Return After a Tough Loss
After a painful defeat to FURIA earlier in the tournament, apEX’s roster regrouped and produced one of their best “mini splits” this season. Key wins over:
- Spirit (2–1)
- TYLOO (2–1)
- And even in their loss to FURIA (2–1), Vitality looked competitive — especially on the micro level.
showed that Vitality are regaining control in late rounds. ZywOo (1.26 rating, 83.8 ADR) is back to statistical dominance, ropz looks ice-cold and consistent, flameZ has hit a new level of aggression, and mezii quietly remains one of the most essential pieces in the lineup.
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Head-to-Head — Vitality Lead, but Falcons Know How to Break Their Structure
Across the last 21 maps:
- Vitality: 14 wins
- Falcons: 7 wins
However, there’s a crucial detail:
2025 has been Falcons’ best year in this matchup. They took multiple maps at IEM Dallas and Esports World Cup and twice forced Vitality into complete eco collapses. Vitality read Falcons’ early-round tempo well, but they struggle against sudden re-hits and NiKo’s sharp mid-round repositioning. This semifinal is likely to be tense and heavily dependent on pistols and economy waves.
Map Pool & Veto Analysis (Last 3 Months)
- Dust2: Falcons 75% | Vitality 82%
- Mirage: Falcons 83% | Vitality 67%
- Inferno: Falcons 38% | Vitality 67%
- Nuke: Falcons 89% | Vitality 60%
- Train: Falcons 50% | Vitality 44%
- Overpass: Falcons — | Vitality 56%
- Ancient: Falcons 100% | Vitality —
Likely bans:
- Falcons remove Overpass — they don’t play it at all, and Vitality are comfortable there.
- Vitality ban Ancient — to avoid Falcons’ highest-tempo gameplay.
Likely picks:
- Falcons: Nuke or Mirage — their most dominant maps.
- Vitality: Inferno or Dust2 — where their structure and clutch game shine.
Potential Decider: Mirage — the arena for m0NESY vs ZywOo, where one entry duel can flip the entire game plan.
Key Duels
m0NESY vs ZywOo
Two of the brightest superstars in the world.
- m0NESY defines the first 15 seconds with aggression.
- ZywOo dominates late rounds with perfect micro-positioning.
NiKo vs ropz
The clash that dictates map control.
- NiKo wins open duels;
- ropz wins timing duels.
kyxsan vs apEX
Two captains, two philosophies:
- kyxsan — “maximum pressure.”
- apEX — “controlled chaos.”
VRS Forecast — A High-Value Match for Both
Falcons (#2, 1934 pt):
- +24 pt if they win — closing the gap to FURIA
- –15 pt if they lose — risk of falling from top-2
Vitality (#3, 1922 pt):
- +18 pt if they win — rise to #2
- –14 pt if they lose — stay #3 but widen the gap to Falcons
This is a match with enormous ranking stakes — top-3 is extremely tight.
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Prediction
Falcons currently look mechanically stronger and have map-pool advantages on Nuke/Mirage. But Vitality are more stable in late rounds and have deeper structure on Inferno and Dust2. This matchup is likely to be one of the closest of the entire tournament — no clear favorite, tense endings, and huge decision-making pressure on both IGLs.
Expected Result: Vitality 2–1 Falcons
with a high probability of overtimes and a razor-thin margin on the deciding map.
