Only one European invite to the Singapore Major is still open. HOTU, 100 Thieves and fnatic all have a shot at it. Two events on November 1 will decide the race, and the first scenario that plays out takes the seat.
The race is tight because it depends on two tournaments at once. HOTU control their own fate in Moscow. However, 100 Thieves and fnatic can profit if the results go against them.
Who Is Already In
Eternal Fire and 1win already hold their seats. If 1win win the GLuck Moscow final, they start at Stage 2 as Europe’s #10. If they lose, they go to Stage 1 with HOTU. Europe’s invites go to the VRS top 18 on November 2, and Udknud simulated 50,000 seasons of the remaining matches before today’s games.
Four Scenarios for the Last Seat
HOTU play 1win in the GLuck Moscow final. In the FiRe Last Chance semi-finals, 100 Thieves face BESTIA and Wildcard face BARCA.
If HOTU win the final, they take the seat in every season. If 1win win the final and 100 Thieves win FiRe Last Chance, 100 Thieves take it. If HOTU finish second and Wildcard win FiRe Last Chance, the points tie and HOTU win the seat in 67% of seasons, against 33% for fnatic. Finally, if HOTU finish second and BESTIA or BARCA win FiRe Last Chance, fnatic get the seat in 99.8% of seasons.
Before today’s matches, HOTU had a 58% chance of the seat, fnatic 22% and 100 Thieves 19%. fnatic have no match left to play.
Why Wildcard Matters for HOTU
HOTU beat Wildcard this year. As a result, a Wildcard title feeds HOTU’s prize bounty and network, which helps them in a points tie.
What It Means for the Major
According to Udknud, HOTU are one win away from the seat, and second place can still be enough if 100 Thieves do not win FiRe Last Chance. 100 Thieves need 1win to win in Moscow and a title of their own. fnatic need HOTU to finish second and BESTIA or BARCA to win FiRe Last Chance. By the end of November 1, Europe’s last Major seat should have its owner.
