The race for PGL Major Singapore 2026 is entering its decisive phase, and the latest VRS simulation has immediately changed the situation across all three regions. NiP have practically secured their place at the Major, The MongolZ have unexpectedly dropped out of the qualification zone, while Wildcard, Imperial, and TYLOO have gained a significant opportunity to improve their positions through upcoming LAN tournaments.
Six European spots remain under real threat
The top of the European qualification race is almost settled. Vitality, MOUZ, Spirit, Aurora, Falcons, and G2 each have a 99.99% chance of qualifying for the Major and are currently projected to start directly in Stage 3. FUT, BetBoom, Astralis, NiP, HEROIC, and 1win are also within the qualification zone, but with different starting positions.
The biggest battle begins further down the standings.
- PARIVISION have a 76.8% chance,
- FaZe — 73.6%,
- Nemiga — 71.2%,
- B8 — 61.3%,
- NAVI — 51.6%,
- Luminosity — 46.9%.
This part of the standings remains the most unstable: according to the model, approximately six European slots could still change hands depending on the results of the final tournaments.
NiP have practically secured their Major spot
Ninjas in Pyjamas have been one of the biggest winners of the recent period. Following a series of strong results, their qualification chances have risen to 99.8%, while their projected position now allows the team to compete for a Stage 2 starting spot.
The arrivals of adamb and Krimbo have significantly changed NiP’s trajectory. The team has climbed sharply in VRS and is now fighting not just for an invitation, but for better seeding. Against this backdrop, the situation for FaZe, B8, and NAVI looks much more uncertain — their upcoming LAN tournaments could prove decisive.
Falcons risk losing their Stage 3 spot
Falcons are almost guaranteed to qualify for the Singapore Major, but their position is no longer as comfortable when it comes specifically to starting directly in Stage 3. Following Thunderpick WC, the model estimates an approximately 8% risk that the team could drop below the required cutoff.
In other words, the main question for Falcons is currently not so much whether they will qualify for the Major, but rather their seeding. The team is still projected to finish between fifth and sixth place in Europe, but an unsuccessful final stretch of the season could force them to start the tournament earlier.
Wildcard and Imperial received a major opportunity in the Americas
In the Americas region, FURIA and Legacy have practically secured Stage 3 spots with 99.99% chances, while 9z are projected to start in Stage 2. MIBR, M80, and Liquid are also almost guaranteed to remain within the qualification quota, while DENDLE have a 93.84% chance.
The most interesting situation has developed around Wildcard and Imperial. Their current chances stand at 72.89% and 73.52%, respectively, while additional opportunities at FIRE could significantly strengthen both teams. High placements at Curabita4 and FIRE will be especially important for Imperial, while Wildcard could practically secure qualification with a strong playoff result.
The MongolZ have dropped out of the qualification zone
The biggest surprise in the Asian region is the position of The MongolZ. The team, which recently looked like an obvious Major participant, now has only a 50.1% qualification chance and currently sits outside the qualifying spots in the latest projection.
Ahead of them are BC.Game with 88.9%, TYLOO with 86.5%, FlyQuest with 77%, Chinggis Warriors with 66.6%, and Lynn Vision with 58.8%. At the same time, 5star remain very close with 57%, meaning the Asian qualification race now effectively depends on just a few results from upcoming LAN tournaments.
TYLOO made a major step forward
TYLOO stand out in particular. The Chinese team secured a spot at HyperX Circuit, significantly increasing their opportunities to earn additional VRS points. As a result, their projected Major qualification chance has risen to 86.5%, and the team currently sits inside Asia’s top five qualifying positions.
Thus, with only a few weeks remaining before the final allocation of invitations, the greatest tension remains in the lower part of the qualification zones. NiP have almost completed their task, Wildcard and Imperial have gained an additional path to the Singapore Major, TYLOO have significantly strengthened their position, and The MongolZ will now have to reclaim a spot that only recently seemed almost guaranteed.
