BLAST Open Porto 2026 will continue the Opening Round in Group B with a match between Falcons and Lynn Vision. The teams will play a Bo3: the winner will advance to the Upper semi-finals, while the losing team will drop to Lower Round 1. Falcons approach the match as the world’s number one team, while Lynn Vision are in 34th position, which is why the European roster looks like the clear favorite of the series.
BLAST OPEN PORTO 2026 GROUP B — FORMAT SPECIFICS
The group stage of BLAST Open Porto 2026 is played in a Double Elimination Bo3 format. Group winners advance directly to the Playoffs Semi-finals, while teams that finish the group in second and third place will receive spots in the Quarter-finals. In the Opening Round, victory allows a team to continue fighting in the upper bracket, while defeat sends them to Lower Round 1.
The Bo3 format seriously reduces Lynn Vision’s chances of a random upset, because Falcons have a much deeper map pool and a stronger individual level. The Chinese roster will need not only to find one comfortable map, but also to maintain a stable level throughout the entire series.
HEAD-TO-HEAD — LYNN VISION WON THE ONLY MEETING
The teams have one presented head-to-head map, and it went to Lynn Vision. At BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 2, the Chinese roster defeated Falcons on Nuke with a 13:9 score.
This result adds some intrigue to the meeting, but the balance of power has changed significantly since that match. Falcons are currently ranked first in the world and have a roster with a much higher individual ceiling, so Lynn Vision’s previous victory does not make them the favorite of the new Bo3 series.
CURRENT FORM
Falcons — No. 1 status and a strong m0NESY
Falcons have recently been showing results worthy of the main favorite. The team defeated The MongolZ 2:0, Astralis 2:0, K27 13:6, and FURIA 3:0. Among their recent setbacks are losses to Legacy 0:2 and 100 Thieves 1:2, but the team’s overall level remains very high.
The main individual force is m0NESY, who has a 1.29 rating over the last three months. He shows 0.84 kills per round, 76.0% KAST, a 1.18 multi-kill rating, and 82.5 ADR. Together with NiKo, kyousuke, TeSeS, and karrigan, he forms one of the strongest rosters at the tournament in terms of individual potential.
Lynn Vision — a dangerous underdog, but an unstable level
Lynn Vision approach the match after a mixed stretch. The team lost to Vitality 0:2 and MOUZ 8:13, but at the same time defeated TYLOO twice — 2:0 and 2:1 — and also beat J5tar 2:0. Against regional opponents, the roster looks confident, but when moving to the top level, the results noticeably worsen.
The best listed numbers belong to Starry with a 1.08 rating. He records 0.72 kills per round, has 71.9% KAST, and 77.1 ADR. Together with Westmelon, z4KR, EmiliaQAQ, and C4LLM3SU3, he remains Lynn Vision’s main firepower, but the individual gap with Falcons still looks significant.
MAP POOL & VETO
Statistics over the last 3 months (Falcons | Lynn Vision):
- Cache: — | —
- Dust2: 70% | 33%
- Mirage: 40% | —
- Inferno: 60% | 50%
- Nuke: — | —
- Ancient: 67% | 20%
- Anubis: 80% | —
Expected veto:
- Lynn Vision will logically try to remove Anubis. Falcons have an 80% win rate on this map across five matches, while the Chinese roster has practically not used it in the current stretch. Leaving Falcons such a comfortable pick would be very risky.
- Falcons, in turn, may avoid Nuke. It was on this map that Lynn Vision already beat them in a head-to-head match, and the current statistics for both teams here are almost absent. For the favorite, there is no particular reason to enter the most uncertain scenario.
Likely maps:
- Dust2 looks like one of the most logical choices for Falcons. The team has a 70% win rate across ten matches, while Lynn Vision have won only 33% of six maps. Here, the favorite’s advantage looks clear enough both statistically and individually.
- Ancient is also very comfortable for Falcons — 67% wins against only 20% for Lynn Vision. If the series reaches a third map, Inferno may become the most neutral option: Falcons have 60%, while Lynn Vision have 50%.
KEY DUELS
- m0NESY vs Starry — the main individual matchup between the most productive players on both teams.
- NiKo vs Westmelon — a rifle duel for control of key positions and creating space in the middle of rounds.
- kyousuke vs z4KR — a battle of young riflers that may determine the tempo of aggressive trades.
PREDICTION
Lynn Vision have already proven that they can create problems for Falcons, and their 13:9 victory on Nuke remains an important reminder of the danger of underestimating the opponent. The Chinese roster also has enough experience to take advantage of a poor start from the favorite on a separate map.
However, in the Bo3 format, Falcons’ advantage looks too large. They have a much stronger roster, better Dust2, Ancient, and Anubis, while m0NESY is in excellent individual form. If Falcons avoid a disastrous veto and do not allow Lynn Vision to impose a chaotic scenario, the series should end with a confident victory for the favorite.
Projected result: Falcons 2–0 Lynn Vision
