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Prediction for FURIA vs G2 at FISSURE Playground 3

News
Sep 10
101 views 4 mins read

FURIA and G2 clash in the quarterfinal of FISSURE Playground 3, and the winner advances to the semifinal while the loser is eliminated from the event, since the playoff bracket runs single-elimination. Both sides sit close together in the world rankings, so this projects as one of the tightest matchups of the round.

Format & Tournament Specifics

FISSURE Playground 3 is taking place September 8 to 13 at the SND Cultural and Sports Centre in Suzhou, China, with 16 teams competing for a $1,000,000 prize pool. The group stage used a double-elimination format, and the top three teams in each group advanced to the playoffs. From here, the playoffs shift to single-elimination, with every match played as a best-of-three except the grand final, which is a best-of-five. So this quarterfinal carries no safety net, one loss and the run ends.

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Current Form

FURIA come in with a rough recent stretch, though the losses came against genuinely strong opposition. KSCERATO remains their standout performer: rating 1.17, 0.73 kills per round, 0.60 deaths per round, 75.9% KAST, 1.16 multi-kill rating, +1.50% round swing, 77.5 ADR.

Last 5 results:

  • FURIA 0:2 Legacy
  • FURIA 2:0 PARIVISION
  • FURIA 2:1 GamerLegion
  • FURIA 1:2 Vitality
  • FURIA 0:2 Spirit

G2 arrive on a 3 match win streak, which gives them momentum heading into this one. HeavyGod is their key man: rating 1.15, 0.69 kills per round, 0.64 deaths per round, 74.2% KAST, 1.16 multi-kill rating, +1.63% round swing, 76.6 ADR. His round swing actually edges out KSCERATO’s, so he tends to tilt rounds when it matters.

Last 5 results:

  • G2 2:0 5star
  • G2 2:1 9z
  • G2 2:1 BIG
  • G2 1:2 Astralis
  • G2 0:2 Falcons
Photo Copyright by G2 Esports. Source: x.com

Head-to-Head

FURIA lead the all-time series 10 map wins to 7, with 3 overtimes along the way. The recent history is fairly one-sided in FURIA’s favor:

  • Esports World Cup 2026: FURIA won 2-1 by maps, Dust2 and Ancient for FURIA, Anubis for G2.
  • StarLadder Budapest Major 2025: FURIA won 2-0, Overpass and Inferno.
  • IEM Chengdu 2025: FURIA won 2-0, Overpass and Train.
  • ESL Pro League Season 22: G2 won 2-0, Dust2 and Train.
  • FISSURE Playground 2: FURIA won 2-0, Overpass and Inferno.
  • BLAST Open London 2025 Finals: G2 won 2-0, Mirage and Inferno.
  • IEM Cologne 2025: FURIA won 2-0, Inferno and Dust2.
  • IEM Cologne 2025: G2 won 2-0, Inferno and Dust2.

FURIA have taken 5 of the last 8 meetings, so history leans their way even though G2 has found answers on Inferno and Mirage more recently.

VRS Forecast

FURIA currently sit at 1774pt, ranked #7. A win pushes them to +16pt, holding #7, while a loss drops them to -15pt and #8 (-1 spot).

G2 currently sit at 1755pt, ranked #8, just behind FURIA. A win lifts them to +21pt and #7 (+1 spot), while a loss keeps them at -18pt and #8 (no change). So G2 have more upside from a win here, since it would actually flip the rankings between the two teams.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rate over the past 3 months (FURIA | G2):

  • Cache: 33% (6 maps) | 33% (3 maps)
  • Dust2: 60% (10 maps) | 22% (9 maps)
  • Mirage: 67% (9 maps) | 78% (9 maps)
  • Inferno: 60% (5 maps) | 82% (11 maps)
  • Nuke: 71% (7 maps) | — (0 maps)
  • Ancient: 57% (7 maps) | 45% (11 maps)
  • Anubis: 0% (3 maps) | 33% (6 maps)

FURIA should ban Anubis first, since a 0% win rate there is impossible to justify keeping in play. G2, in turn, are likely to ban Nuke, a map they haven’t touched in three months against a team sitting at 71%. From there, FURIA should pick Dust2, where they hold a massive edge at 60% versus G2’s 22%, while G2 counter with Inferno, their strongest map by far at 82%. That leaves Cache, Mirage and Ancient. FURIA should ban Mirage, since G2 have been excellent there at 78%, and G2 likely ban Cache, an even map with little upside for either side. That pushes the series toward Ancient as the decider, where FURIA hold a modest advantage at 57% versus 45%.

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Prediction

G2 bring real momentum with a 3 match win streak and a clearly stronger map pool on Inferno and Mirage, plus HeavyGod’s excellent recent round-swing numbers. Still, FURIA hold the historical edge in this rivalry, having won 5 of the last 8 meetings, and their advantage on Dust2 and Nuke gives them a real path through the veto. KSCERATO’s slightly higher rating also suggests FURIA still have the individual firepower to close out close rounds.

This should be close, likely going the distance given how evenly matched the two sides look on paper. FURIA’s map pool edges and head-to-head record give them the slight nod, so expect a hard-fought decider.

Predicted score: FURIA 2-1 G2

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