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Prediction for FUT vs MOUZ at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2

News
Nov 11
14 views 4 mins read

FUT and MOUZ meet in the lower bracket final of Group B at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2. The winner reaches the playoff quarterfinal, while the loser is eliminated. MOUZ sit 1st in the VRS, while FUT rank 10th. However, FUT beat MOUZ in both series between these teams in 2026, so this match carries real tension.

This is the lower bracket final of Group B at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2, so every map will matter. MOUZ are the top-ranked team in the VRS, while FUT are 10th. As a result, MOUZ come in as favorites on paper. Still, FUT won both previous series, so MOUZ cannot take this match lightly.

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Current Form

FUT: three wins in the last five matches

FUT beat Liquid and TYLOO 2:0, and they also won 2:1 against Vitality. However, they lost 1:2 to Spirit and 0:2 to Nemiga. As a result, their form is uneven.

The main player to watch is SunPayus. He posts a 1.24 rating, 0.77 kills per round, 0.52 deaths per round, 75.7% KAST, a 0.99 multi-kill rating, +3.25% round swing and 77.3 ADR. Moreover, he leads Spinx in rating, kills per round, deaths per round and round swing. For example, his round swing of +3.25% is far above Spinx’s +1.31%.

Recent results:

  • FUT 1:2 Spirit
  • FUT 0:2 Nemiga
  • FUT 2:1 Vitality
  • FUT 2:0 Liquid
  • FUT 2:0 TYLOO
Photo Copyright by BLAST. Source: www.flickr.com

MOUZ: four wins in the last five matches

MOUZ beat BetBoom Team twice, 2:0 both times, and they also won 2:0 against PARIVISION and 3:0 against The MongolZ in a best-of-five. However, their only recent loss came against G2, 1:2. Therefore, they enter this match in strong form.

Their key player is Spinx. He posts a 1.16 rating, 0.71 kills per round, 0.59 deaths per round, 76.3% KAST, a 1.06 multi-kill rating, +1.31% round swing and 78.7 ADR. In addition, he leads SunPayus in KAST, multi-kill rating and ADR. However, he trails him in rating, deaths per round and round swing.

Recent results:

  • MOUZ 1:2 G2
  • MOUZ 3:0 The MongolZ
  • MOUZ 2:0 BetBoom Team
  • MOUZ 2:0 PARIVISION
  • MOUZ 2:0 BetBoom Team

Head-to-Head

FUT hold the edge, but the sample is small. In 2026, the two teams have met twice, and FUT won both series. On maps, FUT lead 4 to 1, and two of these five maps went to overtime.

Both series took place at Esports World Cup 2026. On August 14, the result was FUT 2:1 MOUZ. A week later, on August 21, it was FUT 2:0 MOUZ.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rate over the past 3 months (FUT | MOUZ):

  • Cache: 67% (3 maps) | 44% (9 maps)
  • Dust2: 50% (8 maps) | 62% (13 maps)
  • Mirage: 80% (5 maps) | 85% (20 maps)
  • Inferno: 0 maps | 73% (11 maps)
  • Nuke: 43% (7 maps) | 71% (14 maps)
  • Ancient: 56% (9 maps) | 55% (11 maps)
  • Anubis: 60% (5 maps) | 0 maps

Expected veto: FUT will almost certainly ban Inferno and Nuke, where MOUZ win 73% over 11 maps and 71% over 14 maps. In return, MOUZ have a clear reason to ban Anubis, where FUT hold 60% and MOUZ have played none. In addition, MOUZ are likely to remove Cache, where FUT win 67%, although only over three maps.

After those bans, FUT can pick Ancient, where they hold 56% against MOUZ’s 55%. Meanwhile, MOUZ can answer with Mirage, where they win 85% over a huge 20-map sample against FUT’s 80% over five. Therefore, Dust2 looks like the most likely decider, with 62% for MOUZ and 50% for FUT.

VRS forecast: FUT currently have 1667 points and sit 10th. With a win, they would reach 1731 points and stay 10th. With a loss, they would drop to 1662 points, but they would still stay 10th.

MOUZ have 1964 points and sit 1st. With a win, they would reach 1967 points and stay 1st. However, with a loss, they would drop to 1940 points, but they would still stay 1st.

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Prediction

FUT have real arguments. They won both series against MOUZ in 2026, and SunPayus leads Spinx in rating, deaths per round and round swing. In addition, Ancient and Mirage give them two playable map options.

Still, MOUZ look like the better side here. They rank first in the VRS, and they come in on much better recent form. Moreover, MOUZ have large samples and strong numbers on Mirage, Inferno and Nuke. However, FUT’s two wins over this opponent mean this series should be close.

If MOUZ ban Anubis and Cache and win Mirage, they can take control of the series. Meanwhile, FUT will need Ancient or Dust2 and a strong SunPayus to pull off the upset.

Projected result: MOUZ 2:1 FUT

about whyimalive

I always wanted to be part of esports somehow — as a player, chasing that dream. Turns out I ended up covering the CS2 scene instead, breaking down the news that matters to people who live and breathe this game.

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