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Prediction for Spirit vs G2 at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2

News
Nov 11
13 views 4 mins read

Spirit and G2 meet in the upper bracket final of Group B at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2. The winner goes straight to the playoff semifinal, while the loser drops to the quarterfinal. Spirit sit 5th in the VRS, while G2 rank 12th. In addition, Spirit won all six series between these teams in 2026, so G2 need to break a long run of losses.

This is the upper bracket final of Group B at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2, so every map will matter. Spirit are the higher-ranked side, as they are 5th in the VRS, while G2 are 12th. As a result, Spirit come in as clear favorites. Still, the loser gets another chance in the quarterfinal, so both teams have a safety net.

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Current Form

Spirit: three wins in the last five matches

Spirit beat FUT and FURIA 2:1, and they also won 2:0 against TYLOO. However, they lost 1:2 to NAVI and 1:2 to MOUZ. As a result, their form is uneven.

The key player is donk. He posts a 1.35 rating, 0.89 kills per round, 0.68 deaths per round, 75.7% KAST, a 1.42 multi-kill rating, +2.38% round swing and 92.7 ADR. Moreover, he leads NertZ on every key stat. For example, his ADR of 92.7 is far above NertZ’s 80.2.

Recent results:

  • Spirit 2:1 FUT
  • Spirit 1:2 NAVI
  • Spirit 1:2 MOUZ
  • Spirit 2:1 FURIA
  • Spirit 2:0 TYLOO
Photo Copyright by BLAST. Source: www.flickr.com

G2: one win in the last five matches

G2 beat MOUZ 2:1. However, they lost 1:2 to Aurora, PARIVISION and DENDELE, and they also fell 0:2 to Aurora in another series. Therefore, their form is a clear concern.

Their main player to watch is NertZ. He posts a 1.10 rating, 0.71 kills per round, 0.69 deaths per round, 72.5% KAST, a 1.15 multi-kill rating, +0.58% round swing and 80.2 ADR. However, he trails donk on every key stat, so he faces a very tough duel.

Recent results:

  • G2 2:1 MOUZ
  • G2 1:2 Aurora
  • G2 1:2 PARIVISION
  • G2 1:2 DENDELE
  • G2 0:2 Aurora

Head-to-Head

Spirit hold a clear edge. In 2026, the two teams have met six times, and Spirit won all six series. On maps, Spirit lead 12 to 2, and three of these 14 maps went to overtime.

The first meeting was at IEM Kraków 2026 on February 3, and the result was Spirit 2:1 G2. After that, at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 on March 8, it was Spirit 2:0 G2. Next, at IEM Rio 2026 on April 15, Spirit 2:0 G2, and at PGL Astana 2026 on May 15, Spirit 2:0 G2 again.

Then, at IEM Cologne Major 2026 on June 19, Spirit 2:1 G2. Most recently, at BLAST Open Porto 2026 on August 28, the result was Spirit 2:0 G2.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rate over the past 3 months (Spirit | G2):

  • Cache: 56% (9 maps) | 20% (5 maps)
  • Dust2: 69% (13 maps) | 33% (12 maps)
  • Mirage: 57% (14 maps) | 57% (7 maps)
  • Inferno: 0 maps | 60% (15 maps)
  • Nuke: 67% (9 maps) | 0% (4 maps)
  • Ancient: 73% (11 maps) | 59% (17 maps)
  • Anubis: 67% (9 maps) | 67% (6 maps)

Expected veto: Spirit will likely ban Inferno, where G2 win 60% over a large 15-map sample and Spirit have played none. In return, G2 have a clear reason to ban Dust2 and Nuke, where Spirit hold 69% and 67%. However, Spirit also lead on Ancient and Cache, so G2 cannot remove every strong Spirit map.

After those bans, Spirit can pick Ancient, where they win 73% against G2’s 59%. Meanwhile, G2 can answer with Anubis, where both teams hold 67%. Therefore, Mirage looks like the most likely decider, with 57% for both teams, although Spirit’s sample is twice as big, with 14 maps against seven.

VRS forecast: Spirit currently have 1837 points and sit 5th. With a win, they would reach 1853 points and move up to 4th place. With a loss, they would drop to 1816 points and fall to 6th place.

G2 have 1631 points and sit 12th. With a win, they would reach 1675 points and move up to 10th place, up two spots. However, with a loss, they would drop to 1624 points and fall to 13th place.

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Prediction

G2 have real arguments. They took a map from Spirit twice in 2026, and Inferno gives them a strong option with 60% over 15 maps. In addition, they beat MOUZ 2:1 in their latest win, and a victory here would lift them two places in the VRS.

Still, Spirit look like the clear favorites. They rank higher in the VRS, and they won all six series between these teams in 2026. Moreover, Spirit have won 12 of the 14 maps, and donk leads NertZ on every key stat. However, G2’s Inferno numbers and the three overtime maps between these teams show that at least one map should be tight.

If Spirit ban Inferno and win Ancient, they can take control of the series. Meanwhile, G2 will need Anubis or Mirage and a strong NertZ to pull off the upset.

Projected result: Spirit 2:0 G2

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I always wanted to be part of esports somehow — as a player, chasing that dream. Turns out I ended up covering the CS2 scene instead, breaking down the news that matters to people who live and breathe this game.

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