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Prediction for Spirit vs FURIA at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2

News
Nov 14
32 views 3 mins read

Spirit and FURIA will meet in the best-of-five grand final of BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 on November 15 at 09:00 CET in Hong Kong. FURIA rank second in both the HLTV ranking and the Valve Regional Standings, while Spirit sit fourth in both. Spirit have won the last three meetings, but FURIA return to the Hong Kong final after winning the 2025 edition.

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Current Form

Spirit: three wins in the last five matches

Spirit beat FUT and G2 to qualify directly for the semifinals, where they swept MOUZ. They ended a ten-map winning streak for MOUZ on Mirage with a 13:7 win, then came back from 8:11 on Ancient to close the series 13:11. Andrey “tN1R” Tatarinovich led the semifinal with a 1.47 Rating 3.0, while Danil “donk” Kryshkovets leads the head-to-head player comparison with a 1.33 rating and 92.3 ADR over the past three months.

Recent results, newest first.

  • Spirit 2:0 MOUZ
  • Spirit 2:1 G2
  • Spirit 2:1 FUT
  • Spirit 1:2 NAVI
  • Spirit 1:2 MOUZ

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FURIA: three wins in the last five matches

FURIA beat Legacy and Vitality in the group stage, including a 13:0 win on Mirage against Vitality. They then swept Falcons, taking Ancient 16:14 in overtime and Dust2 13:5. Kaike “KSCERATO” Cerato led the semifinal with 47 kills and a 1.69 rating, while Danil “molodoy” Golubenko posted a 1.59.

Recent results, newest first.

  • FURIA 2:0 Falcons
  • FURIA 2:1 Vitality
  • FURIA 2:0 Legacy
  • FURIA 1:2 BETBOOM
  • FURIA 1:2 The MongolZ
Photo Copyright by BLAST

Head-to-Head

Spirit lead the 2026 series record 3–1. FURIA won 2:1 at IEM Kraków, but Spirit answered with a 2:1 win at PGL Astana, a 2:0 win at BLAST Open Porto and another 2:1 win at PGL Masters Bucharest. In the latest meeting, Spirit won Mirage 13:11 and Nuke 13:7, while FURIA took Ancient 13:8.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rates over the past three months (Spirit | FURIA).

  • Cache — 56% (9 maps) | 61% (18 maps)
  • Dust2 — 67% (12 maps) | 67% (21 maps)
  • Mirage — 60% (15 maps) | 57% (21 maps)
  • Inferno — no maps played | 77% (13 maps)
  • Nuke — 70% (10 maps) | 59% (17 maps)
  • Ancient — 75% (12 maps) | 42% (19 maps)
  • Anubis — 67% (9 maps) | 2 maps played, below the three-map minimum

Expected veto. The most likely HLTV simulation has Spirit banning Inferno and FURIA banning Anubis. Spirit pick Ancient and Nuke, FURIA pick Dust2 and Mirage, and Cache is left as the decider. Ancient gives Spirit the biggest statistical advantage, while Dust2 is even at 67%.

VRS forecast. HLTV projects that Spirit would rise from fourth to second with a win, moving from 1,878 to 1,910 points. A loss would leave them fourth on 1,861. FURIA would stay second with a win on 1,934 points or drop to third with a loss on 1,909.

Prediction

Spirit have the edge on Ancient and Nuke, but FURIA have already beaten them on Ancient this year. Dust2 looks like the swing map. FURIA closed their semifinal there 13:5, and if molodoy gets the better of Dmitry “sh1ro” Sokolov, FURIA have a good chance to hold their pick.

If the series reaches Cache, FURIA have the better three-month win rate, but Spirit won the last head-to-head on that map 13:5. That result, along with the edge on their two expected picks, makes Spirit the narrow favorite.

Projected result: Spirit 3:2 FURIA.

author

about Kyoto

Competitive games have always been a big part of my life. I’ve spent years playing CS, reached 3,000 ELO, and I’m still grinding the game today. At the same time, that passion grew into something bigger — now I also cover the CS2 scene, follow its biggest stories, and write for the same community I’m part of as a player.

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