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Prediction: FURIA vs The MongolZ — Quarter-final, PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026

News
Feb 19
230 views 3 mins read

The quarter-final between FURIA and The MongolZ pits two contrasting styles against each other — structure versus tempo. FURIA arrive as the world’s No.2 with deeper playoff experience, while The MongolZ have shown they can upset favorites. At this stage, momentum matters — but discipline decides the outcome.

Road to the Playoffs

FURIA side reached the playoffs through a challenging path:

  • 2–1 vs PARIVISION — held their nerve in key late rounds.
  • 1–2 vs Falcons — a loss that exposed issues against high-tempo play.
  • 2–1 vs FUT — bounced back after a difficult start.
  • 2–0 vs B8 — a confident and controlled closing series.

The team looks mature. FalleN reads opponents’ economy well, KSCERATO remains consistent in trading situations, and molodoy adds aggressive impact. FURIA do not win purely through firepower — they win through discipline.

The Mongols squad had a more fluctuating but dangerous run:

  • 2–1 vs NAVI — one of the biggest upsets of the tournament.
  • 2–1 vs B8 — strong mid-game control.
  • 1–2 vs Vitality — a competitive series against the world’s No.1.
  • 2–1 vs paiN — held their composure under pressure to close the series.

910 and mzinho set the pace, blitz reads mid-round situations well, and Techno is reliable in positional exchanges. Problems arise when opponents impose a slow, structured default and deny them space.

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Current Form & Context

FURIA look more balanced in a long series. Their Nuke (83%) and Dust2 (75%) provide a clear strategic edge. They rarely collapse economically and adapt well after tactical pauses.

The MongolZ are strong on Mirage (71%) and Ancient (67%) but struggle on Dust2 (33%) and Inferno (33%). Their path to victory lies in forcing a high-tempo game and dragging FURIA into chaotic rounds.

Map Pool & Veto Analysis (Bo3, last 3 months)

  • Dust2: FURIA 75% | The MongolZ 33%
  • Mirage: FURIA 57% | The MongolZ 71%
  • Inferno: FURIA 50% | The MongolZ 33%
  • Nuke: FURIA 83% | The MongolZ 40%
  • Overpass: FURIA 40% | The MongolZ —
  • Ancient: FURIA — | The MongolZ 67%
  • Anubis: FURIA 75% | The MongolZ —

Likely bans:

  • The MongolZ remove Dust2 (75% for FURIA).
  • FURIA remove Ancient (67% for The MongolZ).

Likely picks:

  • FURIA: Nuke or Anubis.
  • The MongolZ: Mirage.

Decider: Inferno or Nuke — maps where economy management and mid-round control will likely be decisive.

Head-to-Head

The rivalry is perfectly balanced historically — 12 wins each. Most series have been highly competitive, often going to overtime or ending with narrow scorelines. This is not a matchup without history — it’s a genuine rivalry.

VRS & Tournament Context

FURIA (#2, 1967 pts)

  • +1 pt for a win
  • –26 pts for a loss

The MongolZ (#11, 1611 pts)

  • +68 pts for a win
  • –7 pts for a loss

For FURIA, this is a high-risk match — a loss would significantly hurt their ranking. For The MongolZ, it’s a chance for a massive jump in the standings.

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Prediction

The MongolZ are capable of taking their map pick — especially Mirage, where their tempo can create serious problems. However, in a Bo3 format, FURIA’s structural stability, deeper map pool, and playoff experience should prevail.

Expected score: FURIA 2–1 The MongolZ

The series promises to be intense and aggressive, but FURIA’s control and economic discipline could ultimately secure them a place in the semi-finals.

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