Prediction for Aurora vs G2 at IEM Beijing 2026

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Nov 02

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Aurora and G2 meet in the first round of the Group B lower bracket at IEM Beijing 2026. Aurora rank 5th in the VRS, while G2 sit 13th. The two teams know each other well, as they have played five series in 2026.

This match opens the lower bracket of Group B at IEM Beijing 2026. Both teams already lost once in this group, so the margin for error is small. Aurora enter as the higher-ranked side. However, G2 have won some of their closest recent meetings with them.

Prediction for Liquid vs PARIVISION at IEM Beijing 2026

Current Form

Aurora: two big losses, but a fresh win over G2

Aurora lost 0:2 to MOUZ and 0:2 to Liquid in recent series. However, they also beat Liquid 2:1, took Nemiga 2:0 and beat G2 2:0. As a result, their form is uneven, but they come in with confidence from their latest meeting with this opponent.

The key player is Jimpphat. He posts a 1.12 rating, 0.69 kills per round, 0.60 deaths per round, 74.2% KAST, a 1.07 multi-kill rating, +1.04% round swing and 74.0 ADR. He survives more rounds than almost anyone in this matchup.

G2: five straight series losses

G2 lost all five of their recent series. They fell 1:2 twice to PARIVISION and once to DENDELE. In addition, they lost 0:2 to Aurora and Natus Vincere. Therefore, G2 arrive in poor form, even though they often keep their maps close.

Their key player is NertZ. He posts a 1.10 rating, 0.71 kills per round, 0.68 deaths per round, 72.5% KAST, a 1.14 multi-kill rating, +0.48% round swing and 80.4 ADR. He leads Jimpphat in kills, multi-kill rating and damage. However, Jimpphat is ahead in rating, deaths per round, KAST and round swing.

Head-to-Head

Aurora hold the edge in this matchup. They have won three of the five series in 2026, and across all those maps the count is 7 for Aurora and 4 for G2. Three maps went to overtime.

Most recently, at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 on October 25, Aurora won 2–0. They took Inferno 16–14 in overtime and Cache 13–11.

At BLAST Open Porto 2026 on August 31, G2 won 2–1. They took Mirage 13–1 and Inferno 19–16 in overtime, while Aurora took Anubis 13–7. Five days earlier, on August 26, G2 won 2–0 in the same event. The scores were 16–12 on Anubis and 13–5 on Inferno.

Earlier in the year, Aurora won 2–0 at IEM Cologne Major 2026 on June 13, with scores of 13–7 on Anubis and 13–8 on Overpass. They also won 2–0 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 on March 9, with scores of 13–11 on Anubis and 13–10 on Mirage.

Map Pool & Veto

Win rate over the past 3 months (Aurora | G2):

Cache: 60% (10 maps) | 20% (5 maps)
Dust2: 60% (10 maps) | 36% (11 maps)
Mirage: 60% (15 maps) | 57% (7 maps)
Inferno: 46% (13 maps) | 54% (13 maps)
Nuke: 62% (8 maps) | — (2 maps)
Ancient: — (1 map) | 56% (16 maps)
Anubis: 69% (13 maps) | 67% (6 maps)

Expected veto: G2 will almost certainly ban Cache, where they win only 20% of their maps. Aurora, on the other hand, have a clear reason to remove Ancient. G2 have played it 16 times with a 56% win rate, while Aurora have played it once.

After those bans, G2 can pick Inferno, where they hold 54% against Aurora’s 46%, both on 13 maps. Aurora can answer with Anubis, which is their strongest map at 69% over 13 maps. However, G2 are also solid there at 67%, so this pick is far from safe for either side. Mirage looks like the most likely decider. Aurora hold 60% over a big 15-map sample, while G2 sit at 57%.

VRS forecast: Aurora currently have 1838 points and sit 5th. A win would lift them to 1847 points and 4th place. A loss would take them to 1817 points, and they would stay 5th.

G2 have 1607 points and sit 13th. A win would move them to 1651 points and 12th place. A loss would take them to 1600 points and 14th place.

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Prediction

G2 have real arguments. They beat Aurora twice in August, they match Aurora on Anubis, and Inferno is a comfortable map for them. In addition, NertZ leads Jimpphat in damage and multi-kill rating.

Still, Aurora look like the better side here. They won the latest meeting 2–0, and they have a wider map pool with strong numbers on Cache, Dust2, Mirage, Nuke and Anubis. Moreover, G2 have lost five series in a row. However, Aurora’s own 0:2 losses to Liquid and MOUZ show that a slow start could cost them a map.

If Aurora ban Ancient and win Anubis or Mirage, they should take the series. Expect a close map or two, as G2 pushed Aurora to overtime in half of their recent meetings.

Projected result: Aurora 2–1 G2